Showing 1 - 10 of 821
This paper illustrates the usefulness of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods in approximating DSGE model posterior … examples of multimodal posteriors that are well captured by SMC methods. We then use the online estimation of the DSGE model to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013323879
We propose a method for solving and estimating linear rational expectations models that exhibit indeterminacy and we provide step-by-step guidelines for implementing this method in the Matlab-based packages Dynare and Gensys. Our method redefines a subset of expectational errors as new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075856
Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models are the leading framework that macroeconomists have for dealing with this challenge … in an open and transparent manner. This paper reviews the state of DSGE models before the financial crisis and how DSGE … modelers responded to the crisis and its aftermath. In addition, we discuss the role of DSGE models in the policy process …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012914719
Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models are often solved and estimated under specific assumptions as to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013152087
This paper develops and illustrates a simple method to generate a DSGE model-based forecast for variables that do not … dynamic factor model to link the non-core variables to the state variables of the DSGE model. Predictions for the non …-core variables are obtained by applying their measurement equations to DSGE model-generated forecasts of the state variables. Using a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757579
This paper studies the asymptotic relationship between Bayesian model averaging and post-selection frequentist predictors in both nested and nonnested models. We derive conditions under which their difference is of a smaller order of magnitude than the inverse of the square root of the sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012753476
This paper provides an overview of solution and estimation techniques for dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013001766
(DSGE) models, wherein a particle approximation to the posterior is built iteratively through tempering the likelihood …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080203
We estimate a workhorse DSGE model with an occasionally binding borrowing constraint. First, we propose a new …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306904
A recent literature has developed that combines two prominent empirical approaches to ex ante policy evaluation: randomized controlled trials (RCT) and structural estimation. The RCT provides a "gold-standard'' estimate of a particular treatment, but only of that treatment. Structural estimation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073955