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I revisit the potential costs and benefits for Sweden of joining the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) of the European Union. I first show that the Swedish business cycle since the mid-1990s has been closely correlated with the Euro area economies, suggesting that common shocks have been an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243957
This paper empirically studies the effect of instrumental and institutional stabilization of the exchange rate on the integration of goods markets. An instrumental stabilization of the exchange rate is accomplished through intervention in the foreign exchange market, or by monetary policies. An...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013246260
domestic investment and foreign direct investment (FDI), and the correlation between exchange rate volatility and investment … exchange rate volatility under a flexible exchange rate is shown to depend on the nature of the shocks. If the dominant shocks … correlation between exchange rate volatility and the level of investment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232161
volatility rises and as export demand shocks become more correlated. These theoretical results are confirmed by empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013244871
Simple regression tests that have power against the alternatives that. asset prices and expected future asset returns are excessively volatile are developed and performed for the foreign exchange and stock markets. These tests have a number of advantages over alternative, variance hounds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012786275
forecasting of daily and lower frequency volatility and return distributions. Most procedures for modeling and forecasting … ARCH or stochastic volatility models, which often perform poorly at intraday frequencies. Use of realized volatility … variation, we formally develop the links between the conditional covariancematrix and the concept of realized volatility. Next …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012787458
rate volatility, and outliers. We also offer a simple monetary growth model in which real exchange rate uncertainty …This paper offers empirical evidence that real exchange rate volatility can have a significant impact on long-term rate … countries with relatively low levels of financial development, exchange rate volatility generally reduces growth, whereas for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012761684
. Assuming that news has only country specific autocorrelation such as a heat wave. any intra-daily volatility spillovers (meteor …. Using a volatility type of vector autoregression we examine the impact of news in one market on the time path of volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762800
This paper addresses the puzzle of regime-dependent volatility in foreign exchange. We extend the literature in two … induce volatility under flexible rates because they have portfolio-balance effects on price, whereas under fixed rates the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763111
produces two striking results: (i) Much of the observed short-term volatility in exchange rates comes from sampling the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763225