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Despite their strong positive average returns across numerous asset classes, momentum strategies can experience infrequent and persistent strings of negative returns. These momentum crashes are partly forecastable. They occur in "panic" states - following market declines and when market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013032704
value premium is larger in %u201Cbad times,%u201D due to time variation in risk preferences; (c) the unconditional CAPM … rationalizes why the conditional CAPM and a Fama and French (1993) HML factor outperform the unconditional CAPM …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783344
We study the impact of monetary policy on investors' portfolio choices and asset prices. Using data on individual portfolio holdings and on mutual fund flows, we find that a low-interest-rate monetary policy increases investors' demand for high-dividend stocks and drives up their prices. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906775
Does heterogeneity matter for asset pricing and in particular for risk premiums? Starting with an irrelevance result, I classify the literature into two groups of papers taking different routes to link investor heterogeneity and risk premiums. The first group contains models of investors who...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314327
The Euler equations derived from a broad range of intertemporal asset pricing models, together with the first two unconditional moments of asset returns, imply a lower bound on the volatility of the intertemporal marginal rate of substitution. We develop and implement statistical tests of these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776681
We apply the method of constrained asset share estimation (CASE) to test the mean-variance efficiency (MVE) of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763456
Using data spanning the 20th century, we show that most accounting-based return anomalies are spurious. When examined … out-of-sample by moving either backward or forward in time, anomalies' average returns decrease, and volatilities and … correlations with other anomalies increase. The data-snooping problem is so severe that even the true asset pricing model is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012978086
Optimal investment of firms implies that expected stock returns are tied with the expected marginal benefit of investment divided by the marginal cost of investment. Winners have higher expected growth and expected marginal productivity (two major components of the marginal benefit of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130782
We use mutual fund flows as a measure for individual investor sentiment for different stocks, and find that high sentiment predicts low future returns at long horizons. Fund flows are dumb money %uF818 by reallocating across different mutual funds, retail investors reduce their wealth in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762427
The benefits of international diversification have been recognized for decades. In spite of this, most investors hold nearly all of their wealth in domestic assets. In this paper, we construct new estimates of the international equity portfolio holdings of investors in the U.S., Japan, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013228251