This paper provides an empirical analysis of the risk of trading revenues of U.S. commercial banks. We collect … quarterly data on trading revenues, broken down by business line, as well as the Value at Risk-based market risk charge. The … across business lines. These low correlations do not corroborate systemic risk concerns. Neither is there evidence that the …

Value at Risk has become the standard measure of market risk employed by financial institutions for both internal and … methodologies developed so far give satisfactory solutions. Interpreting Value at Risk as a quantile of future portfolio values … assumptions invoked by existing methodologies (such as normality or i.i.d. returns). The Conditional Value at Risk or CAViaR model …

associated with average returns. We show that the resulting portfolios are likely to capture not only the priced risk associated … with the characteristic, but also unpriced risk. We develop a procedure to remove this unpriced risk using covariance …

It is widely believed that correlations between international equity markets tend to increase in highly volatile bear … markets. This has led some to doubt the benefits of international diversification. This article solves the dynamic portfolio … highly correlated and have lower means. Solving the dynamic asset allocation problem for a CCRA investor, we show …

Over the last twenty years, the consensus view of systemic risk in the financial system that emerged in response to the … facing financial institutions. The dramatic rise of modern risk management has changed how the risks of financial … institutions are measured and how these institutions are managed. However, modern risk management is not without weaknesses that …

We propose a measure for systemic risk: CoVaR, the value at risk (VaR) of the financial system conditional on … institutions being under distress. We define an institution's contribution to systemic risk as the difference between CoVaR … leverage, size, and maturity mismatch predict systemic risk contribution. We also provide out of sample forecasts of a …

This study is concerned with establishing the determinants of banks' exposure to risk and with predicting risk in … banking. Using the COMPUSTAT data base, prediction rules have been developed for two aspects of risk: systematic risk (risk … that is related to covariance with the market portfolio) and residual risk (the aggregate of specific risk and extra …

While the traditional view of financial innovation emphasizes the risk sharing role of new financial assets, belief …. This paper investigates the effect of financial innovation on portfolio risks in an economy when both the risk sharing and … the possibilities for risk sharing. My main result shows that financial innovation also always increases the speculative …

. Dynamically spread-weighting and risk-rebalancing positions improves performance. Equity, bond, FX, volatility, and downside …

options in defined contribution retirement plans. We document large differences in realized TDF returns and risk profiles … reflects optimal risk-taking by fund families with low market share, especially those entering the market after 2006. Using … plan-level data, we find little evidence that 401(k) plan sponsors match the risk profile of the TDFs in their plans to the …