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Throughout the world, population aging is a major challenge that will continue well into the 21st century. While the …-country overlapping generations model and combine it with long-term demographic projections for several world regions over a 50 year … rest of the world will be substantial. Closed-economy models of pension reform are likely to miss quantitatively important …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013321586
Population aging is primarily the result of past declines in fertility, which produced a decades long period in which the ratio of dependents to working age adults was reduced. Rising old-age dependency in many countries represents the inevitable passing of this %u201Cdemographic dividend.%u201D...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012761665
of the world will initially be substantial but that trends are reversed when households decumulate savings. We also … change alters the time path of aggregate savings within each country. Second this process may be amplified when a pension …-term demographic projections for seven world regions. Our simulations indicate that capital flows from fast-aging regions to the rest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227231
We consider the causes of international capital flows. Since capital flows are extremely persistent, we argue that their drivers must be persistent, too. We think the most compelling candidates are demographic trends, tfp differences and financial frictions. In this paper we focus primarily on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075426
find that increases in equity flows are associated with a lower cost of capital, higher correlation with world market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763588
Notwithstanding the rosy short-term fiscal scenarios being advanced in Washington, the demographic transition presents the United States with a very serious fiscal crisis. In 30 years there will be twice the number of elderly, but only 15 percent more workers to help pay Social Security and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218306
This paper develops a dynamic framework in which macroeconomic liberalization and stabilization measures of the type recently seen in Latin America can be studied. The model is sufficiently general to cover both polar cases of a closed capital account and free private capital mobility, so the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243955
We provide an overview of the recent developments of the literature on the determinants of long term capital flows, global imbalances and valuation effects. We present the main stylized facts of the new international financial landscape in which external balance sheets of countries have grown in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078857
reasons neither increased migration nor international transfers of savings is expected to offer much assistance in digesting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225961
From the early 1990s onwards, India has engaged in policies involving trade liberalisation, strong controls on debt flows, and encouragement for portfolio flows and FDI, under a pegged exchange rate regime. Domestic institutional factors have led to relatively little FDI and substantial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247425