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We show that credit crises can be Self-Confirming Equilibria (SCE), which provides a new rationale for policy interventions like, for example, the FRB's TALF credit-easing program in 2009. We introduce SCE in competitive credit markets with directed search. These markets are efficient when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998414
and 1980s and, overall, the CMBS and CMBX markets performed as normal during the financial crisis (at least by the …This paper analyzes the performance of the commercial mortgage-backed security (CMBS) market before and during the … recent financial crisis. Using a comprehensive sample of CMBS deals from 1996 to 2008, we show that (unlike the residential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094466
Illiquidity in short-term credit markets during the financial crisis might have severely curtailed the supply of non-bank consumer credit. Using a new data set linking every car sold in the United States to the credit supplier involved in each transaction, we find that the collapse of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012994914
interest rate spreads to shrink and output to begin a recovery. We study four models of financial frictions which explore …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123690
This paper proposes a methodology for measuring credit booms and uses it to identify credit booms in emerging and industrial economies over the past four decades. In addition, we use event study methods to identify the key empirical regularities of credit booms in macroeconomic aggregates and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012771782
This paper develops a framework for inferring common Markov-switching components in a panel data set with large cross-section and time-series dimensions. We apply the framework to studying similarities and differences across U.S. states in the timing of business cycles. We hypothesize that there...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131771
In this paper we present evidence from high-frequency data collections dedicated to tracking the effects of the financial crisis and great recession on American households. These data come from surveys that we conducted in the American Life Panel - an Internet survey run by RAND Labor and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137607
We document some key facts about aggregate consumption and its subcomponents over time. We then document the behavior of some important determinants of consumption, such as consumers' expectations about their future income, and changes in the consumers' wealth positions. Finally, we use a simple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117210
remained in place during the slow "recovery." Producers appear to be trying to continue production with less labor, rather than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118424
The 2008-2009 crisis was characterized by an unprecedented degree of international synchronization as all major industrialized countries experienced large macroeconomic contractions around the date of Lehman bankruptcy. At the same time countries also experienced large and synchronized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122646