Showing 1 - 10 of 6,953
market? Despite their fundamental importance, these questions are among the most controversial issues in finance. In this …, return volatility, and trading volume in the mortgage-backed security market. We find that increased disagreement is … associated with higher expected returns, higher return volatility, and larger trading volume. These results imply that there is a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096485
We show that volatility movements have first-order implications for consumption dynamics and asset prices. Volatility … news affects the stochastic discount factor and carries a separate risk premium. In the data, volatility risks are … aggregate wealth and the cross-sectional differences in risk premia. Estimation of our volatility risks based model yields an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106078
correlated, contrary to what theory suggests – for eight advanced country exchange rates against the US dollar, over the period …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927015
financial markets such as the size of the equity premium and the volatility of the stock market. In one model, the long run … significance levels, and they can track quite closely a new measure of realized annual volatility. Further scrutiny using a rich …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776940
Recent critiques have demonstrated that existing attempts to account for the unemployment volatility puzzle of search … volatility of risk-free rates. We propose a model that is immune to these critiques and solves this puzzle by allowing for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857716
mean and volatility of aggregate consumption growth, by a representative agent with a high elasticity of intertemporal … increasing the persistence of volatility fluctuations and their impact on stock prices. This calibration fits the predictive … power of stock prices for future consumption volatility, but implies much greater predictive power of stock prices for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225971
-shifts of heterogeneous durations affect the volatility of dividend news. We estimate tightly parameterized specifications with … likelihood than the classic Campbell and Hentschel (1992) specification, while generating volatility feedback effects 6 to 12 … times larger. We show in an extension that Bayesian learning about stochastic volatility is faster for bad states than good …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012754523
stock price reaction to news, and hence lowering the stock return volatility. Thus, in addition to uncertainty about … fundamentals, uncertainty about CEO quality is also a source of stock return volatility, which decreases over a CEO's tenure as the …'s prospects. Overall, uncertainty about management quality appears to be an important source of stock return volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085131
that, after monetary policy announcements, the conditional volatility rises more for firms with stickier prices than for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085909
We develop a model in which innovations in an economy's growth potential are an important driving force of the business cycle. The framework shares the emphasis of the recent "new shock" literature on revisions of beliefs about the future as a source of fluctuations, but differs by tieing these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071111