-market slack is captured by the level of short-term unemployment. This equation explains inflation behavior since 2000, including … the failure of high total unemployment since 2008 to reduce inflation greatly. The fit of our equation is especially good … Phillips curve in which core inflation depends on short-term unemployment and on expected inflation as measured by the Survey …

unemployment-inflation tradeoff since 1995 …

inflation expectations. We develop this measure using assumptions common in economic analysis of open economies. Using quarterly …

series for unemployment and inflation, including additional supply shift variables in the Phillips curve, using monthly or …This paper investigates the precision of conventional and unconventional estimates of the natural rate of unemployment … quarterly data, and using various measures for expected inflation. This imprecision suggests caution in using the NAIRU to guide …

unemployment rate has been about 0.8 percentage points higher than if average inflation had been on target. This is a large … unemployment cost of undershooting the inflation target …If inflation expectations become firmly anchored at the inflation target even when average inflation deviates from the …

for the unemployment-inflation tradeoff and for the conduct of monetary policy.lt;brgt;lt;brgt;We proceed in two steps. We … staggered price setting by firms. We derive the relation between inflation and unemployment and discuss how it is influenced by …We construct a utility-based model of fluctuations, with nominal rigidities and unemployment, and draw its implications …

unemployment on inflation, for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s, but has remained roughly stable since …-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than anticipated, suggesting a … breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 recessions over the past 50 years …

inflation, strong real wage growth, and low rate of unemployment in the U.S. economy during the late 1990s. Many of these … univariate trends in the unemployment rate and in the rate of productivity growth, these coefficients are stable. This suggests … explanations of movements of wages, prices and unemployment over the 1990s, and indeed over the past forty years, must focus on …

-run trade-off between unemployment and inflation is in terms of price levels; Model 2 is one in which the trade-off is in terms …

, but not the wage Phillips curve. However, the endogeneity of monetary policy and the lack of variation of the unemployment … in recent decades can be explained by the success that monetary policy has had in quelling inflation and anchoring … inflation expectations since the 1980s. We also review the experience of the 1960s, the last time inflation expectations became …