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We develop a dynamic model of transitions in and out of employment. A worker finds a job at an optimal stopping time, when a Brownian motion with drift hits a barrier. This implies that the duration of each worker's jobless spells has an inverse Gaussian distribution. We allow for arbitrary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012993840
Unemployment arises from frictions in the matching of job-seekers and employers. The level of resources that employers … devote to evaluating applicants for jobs is a key factor in the magnitude of the frictions. Unemployment will be low if …-selection by job-seekers, so that they apply mainly for jobs where they are qualified, friction and thus unemployment will be low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218331
This paper argues that a broad class of search models cannot generate the observed business …-cycle-frequency fluctuations in unemployment and job vacancies in response to shocks of a plausible magnitude. In the U.S., the vacancy-unemployment … ratio is 20 times as volatile as average labor productivity, while under weak assumptions, search models predict that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218505
machines, computers, the Internet—which presumably have increased the efficiency of search in the labor market. We explain this … unemployment, vacancies, job-finding and job-loss rates are constant while the search technology improves over time if and only if … increasing returns to scale in search. While declining search frictions do not lower unemployment, they contribute to growth. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221525
This chapter assesses how models with search frictions have shaped our understanding of aggregate labor market outcomes … market outcomes for a large set of OECD countries. We then ask how models with search improve our understanding of these data …. Our results are mixed. Search models are useful for interpreting the behavior of some additional data series, but search …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013144962
effort. The panel structure allows us to observe how search effort evolves within individuals over the unemployment spell. We …The job finding rate of Unemployment Insurance (UI) recipients declines in the initial months of unemployment and then …-message-based survey of unemployed workers in Germany. We surveyed 6,349 UI recipients twice a week for 4 months about their job search …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315316
This paper develops a framework for analyzing unemployment in terms of variations in the nt.imber and distribution of … people becoming unemployed and inindividual probabilities of leaving unemployment. Contrary to the emphasis on exit … the size and distribution of the inflow Into unemployment are the primary determinant of the unemployment rate. Instead of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013310825
of the rise in unemployment explained by occupational mismatch is increasing in the education level … unemployment by lowering the aggregate job-finding rate. We use this framework to measure the contribution of mismatch to the … recent rise in U.S. unemployment by exploiting two sources of cross-sectional data on vacancies, JOLTS and HWOL, a new …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102714
unemployment. We show that heterogeneity, reflecting differences in match quality and worker assets, reduces the extent of … fluctuations in separations and unemployment. We find that the model faces a trade-off--it cannot produce both realistic dispersion … in wage growth across workers and realistic cyclical fluctuations in unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311946
This paper develops a model of skill formation that explains a variety of findings established in the child development and child intervention literatures. At its core is a technology that is stage-specific and that features self productivity, dynamic complementarity and skill multipliers....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760446