This paper proposes a dynamic risk-based model that captures the high expected returns on value stocks relative to …, but that shocks to the time-varying price of risk are not. As long-horizon equity, growth stocks covary more with this … time-varying price of risk than value stocks, which covary more with shocks to cash flows. When the model is calibrated to …

value premium is larger in %u201Cbad times,%u201D due to time variation in risk preferences; (c) the unconditional CAPM … with empirical evidence, the model shows that (a) value stocks are those with higher cash-flow risk; (b) the size of the … rationalizes why the conditional CAPM and a Fama and French (1993) HML factor outperform the unconditional CAPM …

linking the CIV factor to income risk faced by households. These three facts are consistent with an incomplete markets …

represented as the sum of three components which we call the consumption-risk, event-risk, and corporate-risk premia. Calibrating …

We study the role of information in asset pricing models with long-run cash flow risk. When investors can distinguish … short- from long-run consumption risks (full information), the model generates a sizable equity risk premium only if the … propose a sparsity-based bounded rationality model of long-run risk that is both parsimonious and fully identified from …

This paper surveys the field of asset pricing. The emphasis is on the interplay between theory and empirical work, and … on the tradeoff between risk and return. Modern research seeks to understand the behavior of the stochastic discount … conditional mean of the SDF, while patterns of risk premia restrict its conditional volatility and factor structure. Stylized …

We characterize and measure a long-run risk return tradeoff for the valuation of financial cash flows that are exposed … inputs from vector autoregressions to quantify this relationship; and we study the long-run risk differences in aggregate …

unconditional cross-sectional moments of household consumption growth and the moments of the risk-free rate, equity premium, price …-dividend ratio, and aggregate dividend and consumption growth. The model-implied risk-free rate and price-dividend ratio are … procyclical while the market return has countercyclical mean and variance. Finally, household consumption risk explains the cross …