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intratemporal relative price such as the terms of trade and possibly an intertemporal price such as the world interest rate. This … paper presents an empirical framework in which multiple commodity prices and the world interest rate transmit world … disturbances. Estimates on a panel of 138 countries over the period 1960-2015 indicate that world shocks explain on average 33 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979352
This paper links business cycle volatility to barriers on international mobility of goods and capital. Theory predicts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014074148
The 2008-2009 crisis was characterized by an unprecedented degree of international synchronization as all major … prices and economic activity (international recessions). The model suggests that these recessions are more severe if they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122646
then to see decreased co-movement between 1920 and 1927 when international integration increased and nations returned to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013127427
account for other important features of domestic and international aggregate fluctuations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158041
together--there is a world component to business cycles. This paper argues that capital accumulation and international capital … flows are central to understanding world trade and business cycles. In particular, fluctuations in net exports and the … current account are shown to be dominated by trade in capital goods. The paper develops a two country model of international …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013237018
allocation of resources across developed countries at the business cycle frequency. Here we discuss how evidence on international … quantity comovement, exchange rates, asset prices, and international portfolio holdings can be used to assess efficiency …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083395
International financial market linkages are widely believed to be important for the international transmission of … detailed analysis of the channels through which these financial linkages affect international business cycles. Our central … not transmitted internationally, the extent of financial integration is central to the international transmission of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763571
We find a strong link between currency excess returns and the relative strength of the business cycle. Buying currencies of strong economies and selling currencies of weak economies generates high returns both in the cross section and time series of countries. These returns stem primarily from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012862409
We explore the consequences of safe asset scarcity on aggregate demand in a stylized IS-LM/Mundell Fleming environment. Acute safe asset scarcity forces the economy into a “safety trap” recession. In the open economy, safe asset scarcity spreads from one country to the other via capital...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012997884