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This paper studies how stable over time are the so-called "structural parameters" of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. To answer this question, we estimate a medium-scale DSGE model with real and nominal rigidities using U.S. data. In our model, we allow for parameter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104685
This paper conducts tests of the rationality of both inflation and short-term interest rate forecasts in the bond … market. These tests are developed with the theory of efficient markets and make use of security price data to infer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012787455
There has been a long-running debate about whether stock market prices are determined by fundamentals. To date no consensus has been reached. An important issue in this debate concerns the circumstances in which deviations from fundamentals are consistent with rational behavior. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763474
This paper describes a class of dynamic stochastic linear quadratic equilibrium models. A model is specified by naming lists of matrices that determine preferences, technology, and the information structure. Aggregate equilibrium allocations and prices are computed by solving a social planning...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760086
This paper is a review of rational expectations models used in macroeconomic research. The purpose is to examine in some detail the differences between the models, the advantages and disadvantages of alternative models the empirical support for the models and their policy implications. The main...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012778809
The paper discusses policy relevant models, going from (1) chronic inflation in the 20th century after WWII, to (2) credit sudden stop episodes that got exacerbated in Developed Market economies after the 2008 Lehman crisis, and appear to be associated with chronic deflation. The discussion...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984757
, growth theory and its empirical application, issues involving unit roots in macroeconomic time series, and sticky …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224331
The recent literature on rational expectations in macroeconomic theory is surveyed here with the objective of … expectations. The paper begins with a brief discussion of the theory of martingales as it has been applied to microeconomic theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210535
The main section of this paper discusses competing theories of aggregate supply that are currently being utilized in macroeconomic models with rational expectations. The distinction between flexible-price equilibrium models and models with nominal contracts is emphasized and three models of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013321623
stabilization, recessions should always be softened. In the long run, institutions, such as those governing capital-labor relations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013237014