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Consider an environment where long-lived experts repeatedly interact with short-lived customers. In periods when an … appropriate. We find that there exists an equilibrium in which experts always play truthfully and choose the customer's preferred … with high probability if the previous treatment was minor, and low probability if it was major. If experts have private …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013160339
We examine misconduct in credence good markets with price taking experts. We propose a market-level model in which … price-taking experts extract surplus based on the value of their firm's brand and their own skill. We test the predictions … independent experts, despite doing substantially less business. In addition, more experienced experts attract more complaints per …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096847
combines these methods by using observed decisions by experts to reduce the demensionality of the feature space and allow the … categorization of decisions by their propensity score. The fact that the human capital of experts is heterogeneous implies that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012995971
We extend the semi-parametric estimation method for dynamic discrete choice models using Hotz and Miller's (1993) conditional choice probability (CCP) approach to the setting where individuals may have hyperbolic discounting time preferences and may be naive about their time inconsistency. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137310
In this paper we present a comprehensive comparison of IPO placement methods in over 50 countries. We find that out of the three primary methods, fixed price public offers, auctions, and book building, auctions are least popular with issuers. Since auctions allow for price discovery while...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139898
-Expected Utility theories, we strongly reject Prospect Theory probability weighting, we support disappointment aversion if amended to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121044
We study the effects of changes in uncertainty about future fiscal policy on aggregate economic activity. Fiscal deficits and public debt have risen sharply in the wake of the financial crisis. While these developments make fiscal consolidation inevitable, there is considerable uncertainty about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121070
Vector autoregressions (VARs) are flexible time series models that can capture complex dynamic interrelationships among macroeconomic variables. However, their dense parameterization leads to unstable inference and inaccurate out-of-sample forecasts, particularly for models with many variables....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099106
Time-inconsistency of no-bailout policies can create incentives for banks to take excessive risks and generate endogenous crises when the government cannot commit. However, at the outbreak of financial problems, usually the government is uncertain about their nature, and hence it may delay...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087435
.S. household survey, we measure ambiguity aversion using custom- designed questions based on Ellsberg urns. As theory predicts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087877