Showing 1 - 10 of 1,183
Forecast errors for inflation decline monotonically with both verbal and quantitative IQ in a large and representative male population. Within individuals, inflation expectations and perceptions are autocorrelated only for men above the median by IQ (high-IQ men). High-IQ men's forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893975
Welfare Economics. A key theme of Cognitive Economics is finite cognition (often misleadingly called “bounded rationality …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030618
numerical cognition, and test its ability to explain the choice frequencies that we observe in a laboratory experiment … imprecise (and noisy) mental representation of the decision situation. In this model, risk aversion is predicted without any … need for a nonlinear utility-of-wealth function, and instead results from a sort of perceptual bias — but one that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012959374
The favorite-longshot bias describes the longstanding empirical regularity that betting odds provide biased estimates … misperceptions of probability drive the favorite-longshot bias, as suggested by Prospect Theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013144509
design an experiment that treats the two goods (a mug and a pen) symmetrically in all but in the probabilities with which … they are expected to be owned. Thus, our "endowmentless" endowment effect experiment shuts down all alternative mechanisms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131234
What explains the mixed evidence from laboratory tests of Kőszegi and Rabin's (2006 and later) model of expectations-based reference-dependent preferences? We investigate one hypothesis: to become (behavior-affecting) reference points, probability beliefs have to sink in—being merely lagged,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012916606
Deferred Acceptance (DA), a widely implemented algorithm, is meant to improve allocations: under classical preferences, it induces preference-concordant rankings. However, recent evidence shows that—in both real, large-stakes applications and experiments—participants frequently play...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860839
reliance on intuitions. In none of the tasks are very high stakes sufficient to de-bias participants, or come even close to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239199
aversion results from a sort of perceptual bias—but one that represents an optimal decision rule, given the limitations of the … result from judgments based on imprecise (and noisy) mental representations of the decision situation. In this model, risk … lotteries, based on other evidence regarding numerical cognition, and test its ability to explain the choice frequencies that we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911706
. This study also presents empirical evidence from a laboratory experiment in which students at a selective college were …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213459