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their risk assessments and outcomes to those from a simple methodology that relies on publicly available market data and … market data; (iii) This discrepancy arises due to the reliance on regulatory risk weights in determining required levels of … capital once stress-test losses are taken into account. In particular, the continued reliance on regulatory risk weights in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083085
Assessing the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic is essential for policymakers, but challenging because the crisis has unfolded with extreme speed. We identify three indicators – stock market volatility, newspaper-based economic uncertainty, and subjective uncertainty in business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837188
The extraordinary events surrounding the Great Recession have cast a considerable doubt on the traditional sources of macroeconomic instability. In their place, economists have singled out financial and uncertainty shocks as potentially important drivers of economic fluctuations. Empirically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012997363
This paper develops a decision-theoretic approach to policy analysis. We argue that policy evaluation should be conducted on the basis of two factors: the policymaker's preferences, and the conditional distribution of the outcomes of interest given a policy and available information. From this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226952
The paper tests three hypotheses concerning foreign equity investment in the presence of liquidity risk. First, the FDI …-to-FPI price differential is negatively related to liquidity risk (the "Price Discount Hypothesis"). The idea is that market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131989
Disparity between control and ownership rights gives rise to the risk of tunneling by the controlling shareholder, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759626
's vulnerability to periods of heightened risk and uncertainty. This paper develops a framework to evaluate such vulnerabilities. It … they are affected by domestic and global risk shocks, and apply this framework to 10 OECD economies. These examples …, including a more detailed assessment for the UK, show that a substantial degree of international risk sharing can occur through …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981097
-averse entrepreneurs discount using a 'hurdle rate' that exceeds the risk-free interest rate. The gap between the two rates increases with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324467
We develop new economic policy uncertainty (EPU) indices for Japan from January 1987 onwards, building on the approach of Baker, Bloom and Davis (2016). Each index reflects the frequency of newspaper articles that contain certain terms pertaining to the economy, policy matters, and uncertainty....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955957
-side uncertainty. Using term structure and macroeconomic data, we find sizable effects of uncertainty on risk premia and business cycle … to illustrate how multiple distinct risk propagation channels account for these differences. Supply and demand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906311