substantially shift towards Asia and especially towards the Asian Giants, China and India. While such forecasts may pan out, there … are substantial reasons that China and India may grow much less rapidly than is currently anticipated. Most importantly … discontinuities account for a large fraction of the variation in growth rates. We suggest that salient characteristics of China …

This paper estimates the effect of access to transportation networks on regional economic outcomes in China over a …

/capita, shares in world trade and market capitalization attributable both jointly and single to China, India, and Brazil (the three … time. In contrast the North‐China gap falls from 57.2 to 13.1 between 1990 and 2009, and India from 70.4 to 38.1 using … market exchange rates and from 23.4 to 5.5 for China and from 20.7 to 11.4 for India using PPP rates. We calculate the …

From the perspective of conditional convergence, China's GDP growth rate since 1990 has been surprisingly high. However …, China cannot deviate forever from the global historical experience, and the per capita growth rate is likely to fall soon … from around 8% per year to a range of 3 4%. China can be viewed as a middle-income convergence-success story, grouped with …

convergence among the provinces of China during the period 1952-1993. We find that real income convergence of provinces in China … coastal and interior provinces, rather than increase in variance within each other. Therefore, it seems that China is now on a …