mortality, fertility, and the economy in the short and medium run. The role of nonpharmaceutical interventions in shaping those …

response and mortality outcomes should be better than in 1918-20. We ask whether mortality from historical pandemics has any … predictive content for mortality in the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic. We find a strong persistence in public health performance in … the early days of the Covid-19 pandemic. Places that performed poorly in terms of mortality in 1918 were more likely to …

epidemic model and link valuations to infections via an asset-pricing framework with vaccines. Infections lower earnings growth …

understand the role of testing and case-dependent quarantine. Our model nests the SEIR model. During a period of asymptomatic … infection, testing can reveal infection that otherwise would only be revealed later when symptoms develop. Along with those … on whether a case is unknown, known positive, known negative, or recovered. Testing therefore makes possible the …

, such as mortality, instead of actual infection counts, which are difficult to measure. We develop an epidemiological … strongly improved among vaccinated cohorts in states with high pre-vaccine measles mortality. Our results suggest that …

What explains stock market behavior in the early weeks of the coronavirus pandemic? Estimates from a dynamic asset …