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Over-Optimistic Official Forecasts in the Eurozone and Fiscal Rules
Frankel, Jeffrey A. - 2012
. The members of the eurozone are supposedly constrained by the fiscal caps of the Stability and Growth Pact. Yet ever since …:•Governments' budget forecasts are biased in the optimistic direction, especially among the Eurozone countries, especially when they have …-optimistic during booms.•Despite the well-known tendency of eurozone members to exceed the 3% cap on budget deficits, often in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102194
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Do Balanced Budget Rules Work? U.S. Experience and Possible Lessons for the Emu
Inman, Robert P. - 2021
The `Excessive Deficit Procedure' of the Maastricht Treaty on Economic and Monetary Union proposes two fiscal convergence conditions for entry and continued membership in the EMU: 1) a country's overall budget deficit for each fiscal year must be equal to or below 3% of GDP, and 2) a country's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223574
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Inspecting the Mechanism : Leverage and the Great Recession in the Eurozone
Martin, Philippe - 2014
We provide a comprehensive account of the dynamics of eurozone countries from 2000 to 2012. We analyze private leverage … government spending, and sudden stops. We then ask how eurozone countries would have fared with different policies. We find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045645
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Regional Nonadjustment and Fiscal Policy : Lessons for Emu
Obstfeld, Maurice; Peri, Giovanni - 2021
How will countries handle idiosyncratic national macroeconomic shocks under the European single currency? The ways in which European countries now react to internally asymmetric shocks provide a better forecast than do the regional response pattern of the United States. In this paper we compare...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249688
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Shocks, Structures or Monetary Policies? The Euro Area and Us after 2001
Christiano, Lawrence J. - 2008
. By comparison with the Fed, the ECB followed a more measured course of action. We use an estimated dynamic general …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012773305
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How Do Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interact in the European Monetary Union?
Canzoneri, Matthew B. - 2012
Formation of the Euro area raises new questions about the coordination of monetary and fiscal policy. Using a New Neoclassical Synthesis (NNS) model, we show that a common monetary policy, responding to area-wide aggregates, has asymmetric effects on countries within the union, depending on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100660
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The Ecb's Fiscal Policy
Sinn, Hans-Werner - 2018
While the ECB helped mitigate the euro crisis in the aftermath of Lehman, it has stretched its monetary mandate and moved into fiscal territory. This text describes and summarizes the crucial role played by the ECB in the intervention spiral resulting from its bid to manage the crisis. It also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918640
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Emu : Ready, or Not?
Obstfeld, Maurice - 2021
In this paper I focus on two specific hazard areas in the transition from Stage Two to Stage Three of European economic and monetary union (EMU), as well as on some key problems of Stage Three that EMU's monetary and fiscal structures appear ill-prepared to handle. The transitional hazards are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235280
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The Euro and Fiscal Policy
Fatás, Antonio - 2010
The paper provides and empirical characterization of fiscal policy in the euro area and in a group of twenty-two OECD economies over the period from 1970 until 2007. Using the cyclically-adjusted fiscal balance we document that policy in the euro area has been mildly pro-cyclical. The adoption...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757871
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Government Investment and the European Stability and Growth Pact
Bassetto, Marco - 2010
We consider the effect of excluding government investment from the deficit subject to the limits of the European Stability and Growth Pact. In the model we consider, residents of a given country discount future costs and benefits of government spending more than efficiency would dictate, because...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759973