This paper asks whether a textbook Phillips curve can explain the behavior of core inflation in the euro area. A … critical feature of the analysis is that we measure core inflation with the weighted median of industry inflation rates, which … is less volatile than the common measure of inflation excluding food and energy prices. We find that fluctuations in core …

of inflation. The first part of the paper considers the ways in which the EMU is likely to affect inflation and cyclical …

This paper studies the relationship between inflation, output, money and interest rates in the euro area, using data … power for future inflation. The real money gap contains more information about future inflation than the output gap and the … Eurosystem's money-growth indicator is an inferior indicator of future inflation …

This paper analyzes the long-run determinants of inflation differentials in a monetary union. First, we aim at … establishingsome stylized facts relating the regional dispersion in headline inflation rates in the euro area as well as in the main … the primary cause of price and inflation differentials, with shocks to productivity in the traded sector being largely …

How far can shoe-leather go in explaining the welfare cost of inflation? Using a unique set of microeconomic data on … welfare cost of inflation analogous to Bailey's triangle, but based on a rigorous microeconomic framework. The welfare cost of … inflation varies considerably within the population, but never turns out to be very large (about 0.1 percent of consumption or …

At a time of historic challenges to the viability of the Eurozone, we assess the contribution of the EU and the Euro to …

Using a small empirical model of inflation, output, and money estimated on U.S. data, we compare the relative … performance of monetary targeting and inflation targeting. The results show that monetary targeting would be quite inefficient …, with both higher inflation and output variability. This is true even with a deterministic money demand formulation. In this …

exist in most Eurozone countries. Although the European Central Bank managed the euro in a way that achieved a low rate of … inflation, other countries both in Europe and elsewhere have also had a decade of low inflation without incurring the costs of a … Greek departure from the Eurozone …