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This paper studies the maturity and stream of payments of sovereign debt. Using Bloomberg bond data for eleven emerging … economies, we document that countries react to crises by issuing debt with shortened maturity but back-load payment schedules …. To account for this pattern, we develop a sovereign default model with an endogenous choice of debt maturity and payment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028562
maturity management, as will typically be required to address rollover crisis risk, will be delayed until the end of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071800
maturity in the event of crises, and show that both necessarily improve ex ante welfare if they do not decrease expected …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013031214
A traditional explanation for why sovereign governments repay debts is that they want to keep good reputations so they can easily borrow more. Bulow and Rogoff show that this argument is invalid under two conditions: (i) there is a single debt relationship, and (ii) regardless of their past...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221519
What determines the sustainability of sovereign debt? We develop a model where myopic governments seek popularity but can nevertheless commit credibly to service external debt. They do not default when debt is low because they would lose access to debt markets and be forced to reduce spending;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119044
A new aggregation scheme used to measure the sources of fiscal financing of indebted countries suggests that there was a fundamental improvement in the seniority of domestic debt at the expense of foreign bank debt during the late 1980s. We argue that this was the revenue maximizing response of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124510
We analyze the pattern of growth of a nation which borrows abroad and which has the option of repudiating its foreign debt. We show that the equilibrium strategy of competitive lenders is to make the growth of the foreign debt contingent on the growth of the borrowing country. We give a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013245122
maturity. But at high levels of debt, a strong inverse relation emerges. We start the paper by documenting this inverse … relation for those OECD Countries which have reached very high levels of debt. We then provide a theory of the joint movements … of debt and maturity which can explain both sets of facts. It is based on the idea that, at high levels of debt, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233747
Few sovereign debtors have repudiated their obligations entirely. But despite the significant sanctions at the disposal of lenders, many borrowers have been able to consistently negotiate for reduced repayments. This paper presents a model of the on-going bargaining process that determines...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013212601
We document that governments whose local currency debt provides them with greater hedging benefits actually borrow more in foreign currency. We introduce two features into a government's debt portfolio choice problem to explain this finding: risk-averse lenders and lack of monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012983672