Showing 1 - 10 of 3,882
In this paper we show that temperature is an aggregate risk factor that adversely affects economic growth. Our argument … temperature (i.e., temperature betas) contains sharp information about the cross-country risk premium; countries closer to the … Equator carry a positive temperature risk premium which decreases as one moves farther away from the Equator. The differences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118834
a key determinant of risk premia at all investment horizons. As the investment horizon increases, transitory risks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776939
uncertainty is time-varying, and (2) countries have heterogeneous exposures to a world aggregate shock. We embed these features in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121723
correlations with developed countries' equity markets significantly reduces the unconditional portfolio risk of a world investor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763467
This paper measures the effects of the risk of war on nine U.S. financial variables using a heteroskedasticity …-based estimation technique. The results indicate that increases in the risk of war cause declines in Treasury yields and equity prices …, a widening of lower-grade corporate spreads, a fall in the dollar, and a rise in oil prices. This war risk factor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210541
We propose a latent variables approach within a present-value model to estimate the expected returns and expected dividend growth rates of the aggregate stock market. This approach aggregates information contained in the history of price-dividend ratios and dividend growth rates to predict...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139284
We use traded options on growth and value indices to test for clientele differences in risk preferences. Value … investors appear to have exhibited a higher average level of risk aversion than growth investors for two different time periods … with different levels of risk-aversion to switch between investment styles conditional upon the evolution of returns and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156425
Human beings want to believe that good outcomes in the future are more likely, but also want to make good decisions that increase average outcomes in the future. We consider a general equilibrium model with complete markets and show that when investors hold beliefs that optimally balance these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777581
We study the predictive power of approximately 2.5 million stock picks submitted by individual users to the "CAPS" website run by the Motley Fool company (www.caps.fool.com). These picks prove to be surprisingly informative about future stock prices. Indeed, a strategy of shorting stocks with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008531
We estimate the risk and expected returns of private equity investments based on the market prices of exchange …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156423