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I study monetary and fiscal policy in liquidity trap scenarios, where the zero bound on the nominal interest rate is binding. I work with a continuous-time version of the standard New Keynesian model. Without commitment, the economy suffers from deflation and depressed output. I show that,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120966
The standard workhorse models of monetary policy now commonly in use, both for teaching macroeconomics to students and for supporting policymaking within many central banks, are incapable of incorporating the most widely accepted accounts of how the 2007-9 financial crisis occurred and incapable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083392
This paper develops an affine model of the term structure of interest rates in which bond yields are driven by observable and unobservable macroeconomic factors. It imposes restrictions to identify the effects of monetary policy and other structural disturbances on output, inflation, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015094
This paper shows that the theory of monetary policy rules is able to explain, predict, and help understand a variety of … rates, and the shift in the response of the term structure of interest rates to inflation and output. Although the theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012775473
This paper analyzes the effects of monetary and fiscal policy shocks on the term structure of interest rates. The effects of temporary versus permanent, unanticipated versus anticipated, policy disturbances and the responses of long versus short, and real versus nominal, rates are contrasted....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012787473
We extend the basic (representative-household) New Keynesian [NK] model of the monetary transmission mechanism to allow for a spread between the interest rate available to savers and borrowers, that can vary for either exogenous or endogenous reasons. We find that the mere existence of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013002563
This paper addresses a prominent empirical failure of the expectations theory of the term structure of interest rates … rationalized with the expectations theory by recognition of an exogenous random (but possibly autoregressive) term premium plus the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221299
efficient markets-rational expectations theory to analyze empirically the relationship of money supply growth and short- term …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226572
In the new situation with flexible exchange rates, monetary policy in Europe will have to rely more on indicators than previously under fixed rates. One of the potential indicators, the forward interest rate curve, can be used to indicate market expectations of the time-paths of future short...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013214576
This paper reviews alternative options for monetary policy when the short-term interest rate is at the zero lower bound and develops new empirical estimates of the effects of the maturity structure of publicly held debt on the term structure of interest rates. We use a model of risk-averse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013127013