In this paper, a theory of the natural or equilibrium rate of unemployment is built around a theory of the duration of … a minority are on temporary layoff or have just entered the labor force. Thus, high-unemployment labor markets are … efficient. The factors influencing the resulting natural unemployment rate are discussed. Under plausible assumptions, the …

This paper investigates the precision of conventional and unconventional estimates of the natural rate of unemployment … series for unemployment and inflation, including additional supply shift variables in the Phillips curve, using monthly or …

of unemployment. It is this body of work we assess in this paper. We reach two main conclusions. First, there has been … think for example about the relation between technological progrss and unemployment. Second, empirical knowledge lags behind … countries. We look at two issues, the relation of wages to unemployment, and the risk of European unemployment …

-run concept like the natural rate of unemployment. We examine what effect uncertainty has on the use of NAIRU in policy …

equivalent workers fall sharply as unemployment duration progresses. We use the model to quantitatively assess the consequences … of such employer behavior for job finding rates and long term unemployment and find only modest effects given the large … dependence and long term unemployment …

unemployment benefits on the duration of joblessness in Austria, and discuss implementation issues that may arise in similar … nonparametric estimation (e.g. Imbens et al. (2012) and Calonico et al. (2014)) are sometimes interpreted by practitioners as … pointing to a default estimation procedure, we show that in any given application different procedures may perform better or …

identification strategies used, critically assess strengths and weaknesses, discuss connections with theory, and draw out potential …

is imputed using existing labor supply elasticities, and variations in unemployment insurance laws are used to estimate …