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This paper develops the theoretical foundations and the testable implications of the various mechanisms that have been proposed as possible triggers for the demographic transition. Moreover, it examines the empirical validity of each of the theories and their significance for the understanding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125156
discussion of dependency ratios. Two alternative measures of age are explored: mortality risk and remaining life expectancy. With …. However, the fraction of the population that is above a mortality rate that corresponds to 65+ today will grow by only 20 … percent. Needless to say, the aging of the society is a lot less dramatic with the alternative mortality-based age measures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012775839
national income, using estimated mortality rates of early European settlers to instrument capital expropriation risk. However … 36 of the 64 countries in their sample are assigned mortality rates from other countries, typically based on mistaken or … conflicting evidence. Also, incomparable mortality rates from populations of laborers, bishops, and soldiers - often on campaign …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759109
infant and child mortality on the other vanishes altogether if we look at the relationship between growth and the absolute … rate of decline in infant and child mortality. In effect, the correlation is between the level of infant mortality and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760511
constant income and population is achieved through equilibrating adjustments in quot;positive checksquot; (mortality … mortality rates. We develop a dynamic model of endogenous fertility, longevity, and human capital formation within a Malthusian … accounts for economic stagnation with high fertility and mortality and constant population and income, as predicted by Malthus …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762382
mortality, fertility, and the economy in the short and medium run. The role of nonpharmaceutical interventions in shaping those …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012825491
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920365
one percentage point reduction in unemployment is predicted to raise AMI mortality by 1.3 percent, with a larger increase … the frail elderly. AMI mortality risk quickly rises when the economy strengthens and increases further if the favorable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218136
Using country- and region-level data, I investigate the effect of HIV/AIDS on fertility in Africa during 1985-2000. Results differ depending on the variation used and the estimation method. Between estimates that exploit cross-sectional variation suggest a positive significant effect of HIV/AIDS...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220972
Analyzing a variety of cross-national and sub-national data, we argue that high adult mortality reduces economic growth … by shortening time horizons. Higher adult mortality is associated with increased levels of risky behavior, higher … better health care implies that mortality could be the source of a poverty trap. In our regressions, adult mortality explains …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235625