Showing 1 - 10 of 1,393
We develop a model of pandemic risk management and firm valuation. We introduce aggregate transmission shocks into an … epidemic model and link valuations to infections via an asset-pricing framework with vaccines. Infections lower earnings growth … during a pandemic. Valuations would be significantly lower absent mitigation and a high vaccine arrival rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833123
The COVID-19 pandemic triggered a large and immediate drop in employment among US workers, along with major expansions … second year of the pandemic. We find ongoing improvements in employment outcomes among older workers in the labor force … retirement benefit claiming has rebounded to pre-pandemic levels, but has shifted from offline to online applications …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014243360
The COVID-19 pandemic has forced federal, state and local policymakers to respond by legislating, enacting, and … pandemic reduces the impact of these policies. Our results imply that while social distancing policies do lead to reductions in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013228255
We consider several economic uncertainty indicators for the US and UK before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: implied … emerge. First, all indicators show huge uncertainty jumps in reaction to the pandemic and its economic fallout. Indeed, most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012830476
. Analyses in this paper suggest that the expected annual cost of pandemic influenza falls in the same range as does that of … very severe flu pandemic akin to the one of 1918. Even a moderately severe pandemic, of which at least 6 have occurred … from a severe pandemic at 4-5% of global GNI. The economics literature points to a very high intrinsic value of mortality …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012995516
We use dynamic panel data models to generate density forecasts for daily Covid-19 infections for a panel of countries/regions. At the core of our model is a specification that assumes that the growth rate of active infections can be represented by autoregressive fluctuations around a downward...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833111
We study the role of global supply chains in the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on GDP growth for 64 countries. We …, "renationalization" of global supply chains does not in general make countries more resilient to pandemic-induced contractions in labor … lockdowns. In fact, trade can insulate a country imposing a stringent lockdown from the pandemic-shock, as its foreign inputs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833120
the distribution of UI benefits after the uniform $600 Federal Pandemic Unemployment Compensation (FPUC) supplement …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833125
We quantify the macroeconomic effects of COVID-19 for emerging markets using a SIR-multisector-small open economy model and calibrating it to Turkey. Domestic infection rates feed into both sectoral supply and sectoral demand shocks. Sectoral demand shocks also incorporate lower external demand...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833730
path during such outbreaks. When the epidemic is more infectious and fatal, the Bayesian-optimal sample size in the … and the regulatory approval process to the specific parameters and stage of the epidemic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833747