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We develop a model of pandemic risk management and firm valuation. We introduce aggregate transmission shocks into an … epidemic model and link valuations to infections via an asset-pricing framework with vaccines. Infections lower earnings growth … during a pandemic. Valuations would be significantly lower absent mitigation and a high vaccine arrival rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833123
We consider several economic uncertainty indicators for the US and UK before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: implied … emerge. First, all indicators show huge uncertainty jumps in reaction to the pandemic and its economic fallout. Indeed, most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012830476
The epidemiological literature suggests that virus transmission occurs only when individuals are in relatively close contact. We show that if society can control the extent to which economic agents are exposed to the virus and agents can commit to contracts, virus externalities are local, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014357916
COVID-19 has created a dual set of stresses on health care systems worldwide: a rise in expensive intensive care services and a dramatic decline in elective services. The U.S. government has responded with both grant and loan programs to help health care providers weather the storm. But the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828468
The outbreak of COVID-19 has called for swift action by governments, often involving the adoption of restrictive measures such as lockdowns. In this context, leaders have faced a trade-off between imposing stringent measures to limit the contagion, and minimizing the costs on their national...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828469
We summarize some of the early effects and discuss possible future effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and recession on … effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and recession on employment and unemployment rates by age group and sex using Current …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829784
The collapse of economic activity in 2020 from COVID-19 has been immense. An important question is how much of that resulted from government restrictions on activity versus people voluntarily choosing to stay home to avoid infection. This paper examines the drivers of the collapse using cellular...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829790
We investigate how the coronavirus pandemic affected the demand for online food shopping services using data from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829792
We assess the Covid-19 pandemic's implications for state government sales and income tax revenues. We estimate that the …. These include other revenues (e.g., university tuition and fees) that are also at risk, as well as assets (e.g., pension … plan holdings) that are at risk. Further dimensions of context include support enacted through several pieces of federal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829793
The threat of COVID-19 has increased the health risks of going to an office or factory, leading more workers to do their jobs remotely. In this paper, we provide results from firm surveys on both small and large businesses on the prevalence and productivity of remote work, and expectations about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829794