Showing 1 - 10 of 481
the mean and volatility of equity returns. Our model assumes a small risk of a rare disaster that is calibrated based on … turns out to be crucial to the model's ability to explain both equity volatility and option prices. We explore different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073202
examines the implications of stochastic volatility and jumps for option valuation. This example highlights the impact on option … amp;apos;smirksamp;apos; of the joint distribution of jumps in volatility and jumps in the underlying asset price, through …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774824
We conduct a comprehensive analysis of unspanned stochastic volatility in commodity markets in general and the crude …-oil market in particular. We present model-free results that strongly suggest the presence of unspanned stochastic volatility in … stochastic volatility. The model features correlations between innovations to futures prices and volatility, quasi …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012778140
We use a novel pricing model to filter times series of diffusive volatility and jump intensity from Samp;P 500 index … about twice the premium required to compensate the same investor for the realized volatility, 5.8 percent. Moreover, the ex …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012785090
In pricing primary-market options and in making secondary markets, financial intermediaries depend on the quality of forecasts of the variance of the underlying assets. Hence, the gain from improved pricing of options would be a measure of the value of a forecast of underlying asset returns....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763182
In conventional stochastic simulation algorithms, Monte Carlo integration and curve fitting are merged together and implemented by means of regression. We perform a decomposition of the solution error and show that regression does a good job in curve fitting but a poor job in integration, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131303
Standard practice for the estimation of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models maintains the assumption that economic variables are properly measured by a single indicator, and that all relevant information for the estimation is summarized by a small number of data series. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118075
This study uses Monte Carlo simulations to demonstrate that regression-discontinuity designs arrive at biased estimates when attributes related to outcomes predict heaping in the running variable. After showing that our usual diagnostics are poorly suited to identifying this type of problem, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120302
We present evidence that the equity premium and the premium of value stocks over growth stocks are explained in the 1982 1996 period with a stochastic discount factor (SDF) calculated as the weighted average of individual households' marginal rate of substitution with low and economically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102192
Although independent unobserved heterogeneity--variables that affect the dependent variable but are independent from the other explanatory variables of interest--do not affect the point estimates or marginal effects in least squares regression, they do affect point estimates in nonlinear models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103062