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We summarize some of the early effects and discuss possible future effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and recession on the employment outcomes of older workers in the United States. We start by discussing what we know about how older workers faired in prior recessions in the United States and how...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829784
The collapse of economic activity in 2020 from COVID-19 has been immense. An important question is how much of that resulted from government restrictions on activity versus people voluntarily choosing to stay home to avoid infection. This paper examines the drivers of the collapse using cellular...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829790
In the financial crisis and recession induced by the Covid-19 pandemic, many investment-grade firms became unable to borrow from securities markets. In response, the Fed not only reopened its commercial paper funding facility but also announced it would purchase newly issued and seasoned bonds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013234066
What accounts for inflation after 2008? We use the prominent pre-crisis Smets-Wouters (2007) model to address this … question. We find that due to price markup shocks alone inflation would have been 1% higher than observed and 0.5% higher that … responsible for the slow recovery of employment, though not for the initial drop. Monetary policy shocks predict an inflation rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013040539
The recession induced by the COVID-19 pandemic resulted in major declines in employment of women, both from the demand side as firms reduced employment and from the supply side resulting from school closures and the closing of many child care facilities. We provide projections of possible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014242235
distribution of business revenue shock due to the Covid-19 pandemic. We rely on it to analyze the impact of business support …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826132
oil-price shock and the 9/11 terrorist attack. This paper offers a structural framework to analyze the impact of these … data. The parameterized model is then used to simulate a macro uncertainty shock, which produces a rapid drop and rebound … medium term the increased volatility from the shock induces an overshoot in output, employment and productivity. Thus, second …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012751817
The extraordinary events surrounding the Great Recession have cast a considerable doubt on the traditional sources of macroeconomic instability. In their place, economists have singled out financial and uncertainty shocks as potentially important drivers of economic fluctuations. Empirically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012997363
following a large real (non-financial) shock; and (ii) demonstrate the effectiveness of Large Scale Asset Purchases (LSAPs) in … addressing these contractions. The key mechanism stems from heterogeneous risk tolerance: as a recessionary shock hits the … Covid-19 shock and the large response by all the major central banks provide a vivid illustration of the environment we seek …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835752
With an estimated New Keynesian model, this paper compares the "Great Recession" of 2007-09 to its two immediate predecessors in 1990-91 and 2001. The model attributes all three downturns to a similar mix of aggregate demand and supply disturbances. The most recent series of adverse shocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137590