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Did Trump's Trade War Impact the 2018 Election?
Blanchard, Emily J. - 2019
We find that Republican candidates lost support in the 2018 congressional election in counties more exposed to trade retaliation, but saw no commensurate electoral gains from US tariff protection. The electoral losses were driven by retaliatory tariffs on agricultural products, and were only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859688
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Anxiety or Pain? The Impact of Tariffs and Uncertainty on Chinese Firms in the Trade War
Benguria, Felipe; Choi, Jaerim; Swenson, Deborah; Xu, … - 2022
The unexpected outbreak of the U.S.-China trade war led to dramatic increases in the import and export tariffs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292579
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The Consumption Response to Trade Shocks : Evidence from the Us-China Trade War
Waugh, Michael - 2022
This paper provides evidence on the consumption effects of trade shocks by exploiting changes in US and Chinese trade policy between 2017 and 2018. The analysis uses a unique data set with the universe of new auto sales at the US county level, at a monthly frequency, and a simple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014103831
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The Effect of the U.S.-China Trade War on U.S. Investment
Amiti, Mary; Kong, Sang Hoon; Weinstein, David E. - 2022
market data. By estimating the effect of U.S.-China tariff announcements on aggregate returns and the differential returns of … firms exposed to China, we identify their effect on treated and untreated firms. We show theoretically and empirically that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013307379
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The Impact of the 2018 Trade War on U.S. Prices and Welfare
Amiti, Mary - 2019
This paper explores the impacts of the Trump administration's trade policy on prices and welfare. Over the course of 2018, the U.S. experienced substantial increases in the prices of intermediates and final goods, dramatic changes to its supply-chain network, reductions in availability of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889981
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Trade Wars and Trade Talks with Data
Ossa, Ralph - 2011
How large are optimal tariffs? What tariffs would prevail in a worldwide trade war? How costly would be a breakdown of international trade policy cooperation? And what is the scope for future multilateral trade negotiations? I address these and other questions using a unified framework which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121039
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On the Role and Design of Dispute Settlement Procedures in International Trade Agreements
Maggi, Giovanni - 2008
Formal economic analysis of trade agreements typically treats disputes as synonymous with concerns about enforcement. But in reality, most WTO disputes involve disagreements of interpretation concerning the agreement, or instances where the agreement is simply silent. And some have suggested...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012771708
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Trade Wars and Trade Talks
Grossman, Gene M.; Helpman, Elhanan - 2021
Whether governments clash in trade disputes or negotiate over trade agreements, their actions in the international arena reflect political conditions back home. Previous studies of cooperative and noncooperative trade relations have focused on governments that are immune from political pressures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013240527
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Learning by Ruling and Trade Disputes
Maggi, Giovanni - 2017
interpreted as symptoms of a dispute resolution system in decline. In this paper we propose a theory that can explain these trends … as a result of judicial learning; thus according to our theory such trends represent good news, not bad news. We then …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948085
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Strategic Trade, Competitive Industries and Agricultural Trade Disputes
Bagwell, Kyle; Staiger, Robert W. - 2021
The primary predictions of strategic-trade theory are not restricted to imperfectly-competitive markets. Indeed, these … predictions emerge in a natural three-country extension of the traditional theory of trade policy in competitive markets, once the … theory is augmented to allow for politically-motivated governments, so that the sign of export policy may be converted from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227741