Showing 1 - 10 of 1,170
This paper shows that, with (partial) irreversibility, higher uncertainty reduces the impact effect of demand shocks on investment. Uncertainty increases real option values making firms more cautious when investing or disinvesting. This is confirmed both numerically for a model with a rich mix...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012752137
We propose several econometric measures of systemic risk to capture the interconnectedness among the monthly returns of … find that all four sectors have become highly interrelated over the past decade, increasing the level of systemic risk in … of market dislocation, and systemic risk arises from a complex and dynamic network of relationships among hedge funds …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139889
Does short-term debt increase vulnerability to financial crisis, or does short-term debt reflect -- rather than cause -- the incipient crisis? We study the role that short-term debt played in the collapse of the East Asian financial sector in 1997-1998. We alleviate concerns about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119955
We estimate the pricing of sovereign risk for sixty countries based on fiscal space (debt/tax; deficits/tax) and other … and economically important determinants of market-based sovereign risk. Although the explanatory power of fiscal space … emergence of TED spread as a key pricing factor. However, risk-pricing of the South-West Eurozone Periphery countries is not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120304
Can increased uncertainty about the future cause a contraction in output and its components? An identified uncertainty shock in the data causes significant declines in output, consumption, investment, and hours worked. Standard general-equilibrium models with flexible prices cannot reproduce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100021
Time-inconsistency of no-bailout policies can create incentives for banks to take excessive risks and generate endogenous crises when the government cannot commit. However, at the outbreak of financial problems, usually the government is uncertain about their nature, and hence it may delay...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087435
Here, I present and discuss a "10-by-10-by-10" network-based approach to monitoring systemic financial risk. Under this … of cash flow, allowing regulators to assess risk magnitudes in terms of stresses to both economic values and also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092573
Although firm financial policies were affected by a credit contraction during the recent financial crisis, the impact of increased uncertainty and decreased growth opportunities was stronger than that of the credit contraction per se. From the start of the financial crisis (third quarter of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013069349
, and near-frictionless refinancing opportunities---led to vastly increased systemic risk in the financial system …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150910
markets that had no connection to housing. We find that changes in the "LIB-OIS" spread, a proxy for counterparty risk, was …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013151390