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Algorithms are increasingly used to aid, or in some cases supplant, human decision-making, particularly for decisions that hinge on predictions. As a result, two additional features in addition to prediction quality have generated interest: (i) to facilitate human interaction and understanding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870057
strategies that combine econometrics and machine learning when conducting forecasts with new big data sources. Specifically … reduction strategies and traditional econometrics approaches in fore-cast accuracy, there are further significant gains from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012916165
The concept of Economic Reform is described as a planned shift from one, Pareto inefficient, but quasi-stable, equilibrium (or 'trap') to a new Pareto superior equilibrium which is, or is designed to become, stable too. The concept is applied to recent 'shock' stabilization programs, with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135342
We explore alternative approaches to numerical solutions of large rational expectations models. We discuss and compare several current alternatives, focussing on the tradeoffs in accuracy, space, and speed. The models range from representative agent models with many goods and capital stocks, to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763554
initiated his own seminal development of statistical decision theory. Haavelmo favorably cited Wald, but econometrics …In the early 1940s, Haavelmo proposed a probabilistic structure for econometric modeling, aiming to make econometrics … subsequently did not embrace statistical decision theory. Instead, it focused on study of identification, estimation, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857670
I review recent work in the statistics literature on instrumental variables methods from an econometrics perspective. I …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056855
When combined with the logical notion of partially interpreted functions, many nonparametric results in econometrics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012919312
This review of data problems in econometrics has been prepared for the Handbook of Econometrics (Vol. 3, Chap. 25 … VII) with some final remarks on the existential problem of econometrics: life with imperfect data and inadequate theories …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013216520
Econometric analyses of treatment response commonly use instrumental variable (IV) assumptions to identify treatment effects. Yet the credibility of IV assumptions is often a matter of considerable disagreement, with much debate about whether some covariate is or is not a "valid instrument" in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247435
This paper attempts to assess whether money can generate persistent economic" fluctuations in dynamic general equilibrium models of the business cycle. We show that a small" nominal friction in the goods market can make the response of output to monetary shocks large" and persistent if it is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013248406