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The government often provides relief against large risks, such as disasters. A simple, general rationale for this role of government is considered here that applies even when private contracting to share risks is not subject to market imperfections. Specifically, the optimal private sharing of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013052679
neoclassical growth model. Investment rates and total factor productivity start out low and rise over time. These model dynamics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013069222
It is well understood that investment serves as a shock absorber at the time of crisis. The duration of the drag on … investment, however, is perplexing. For the nine Asian economies we focus on in this study, average investment/GDP is about 6 … between the sustained reserve accumulation and the persistent and significantly lower levels of investment in the region. Put …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013072866
and Vietnam. To examine the global implications of domestic growth patterns in Asia, I analyze saving-investment balances … growth rates for the key emerging markets and other developing economies in Asia. China has by far the lowest share of … private consumption to GDP in Asia and, during this decade, has recorded the lowest rate of employment growth relative to GDP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013157915
Since 1950, the economies of East Asia grew rapidly but received little inter-national capital, while Latin America … flows. We develop a DSGE model of Asia, Latin America, and the Rest ofthe World that features an open-economy business cycle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011451
This paper develops an interpretation of the Asian meltdown focused on moral hazard as the common source of overinvestment, excessive external borrowing, and current account deficits. To the extent that foreign creditors are willing to lend to domestic agents against future bail-out revenue from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013308472
The outbreak of COVID-19 has significantly disrupted the economy. This paper attempts to quantify the macroeconomic impact of costly and deadly disasters in recent US history, and to translate these estimates into an analysis of the likely impact of COVID-19. A costly disaster series is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837186
Using climate change as a prototype motivating example, this paper analyzes the implications of structural uncertainty for the economics of low-probability high-impact catastrophes. The paper shows that having an uncertain multiplicative parameter, which scales or amplifies exogenous shocks and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012775805
Does the environment have a causal effect on economic development? Using meteorological data, we reconstruct every country's exposure to the universe of tropical cyclones during 1950-2008. We exploit random within-country year-to-year variation in cyclone strikes to identify the causal effect of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049691
Hurricane Katrina destroyed more than 200,000 homes and led to massive economic and physical dislocation. Using a panel of tax return data, we provide one of the first comprehensive analyses of the hurricane's long-term economic impact on its victims. Katrina had large and persistent impacts on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043277