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Over the last two decades, communication has become an increasingly important aspect of monetary policy. These real …-world developments have spawned a huge new scholarly literature on central bank communication -- mostly empirical, and almost all of it … written in this decade. We survey this ever-growing literature. The evidence suggests that communication can be an important …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759390
This paper analyzes the value of communication in the implementation of monetary policy. The central bank is uncertain … communication strategies are contemplated: i) communicating the precise details of the monetary policy -- that is, the variables and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759936
Amid the COVID-19 outbreak and related expected economic downturn, many developed and emerging market central banks around the world engaged in new long-term asset purchase programs, or so-called quantitative easing (QE) interventions. This paper conducts an event-study analysis of 24 COVID-19...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831837
Greater transparency in central bank operations is the most dramatic change in the conduct of monetary policy in recent years. In this paper we present new information on its extent and effects. We show that the trend is general: a large number of central banks have moved in the direction of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760205
Central banks unexpectedly tightening policy rates often observe the exchange value of their currency depreciate, rather than appreciate as predicted by standard models. We document this for Fed and ECB policy days using event-studies and ask whether an information effect, where the public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013289105
This paper assesses the effects of central bank governor appointments on financial market expectations of monetary policy. To measure these effects, we assemble a new dataset of appointment announcements from 15 countries, and conduct an event study analysis on exchange rates, bond yields, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760094
A new measure of credibility is constructed as a function of the differential between observed inflation and some estimate of the inflation rate that the central bank targets. The target is assumed to be met flexibly. Credibility is calculated for a large group of both advanced and emerging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011938
This paper examines the historical evolution of central bank credibility using both historical narrative and empirics for a group of 16 countries, both advanced and emerging. It shows how the evolution of credibility has gone through a pendulum where credibility was high under the classical gold...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043621
In this paper we provide empirical measures of central bank credibility and augment these with historical narratives from eleven countries. To the extent we are able to apply reliable institutional information we can also indirectly assess their role in influencing the credibility of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030622
communication about future interest rate decisions based on information from the Internet and news sources. We apply the methodology … announcements, whereas longer-dated Treasuries mainly react to changes in policy communication. Using lower frequency data, we find …, we find communication to be a more important determinant of Treasury rates than contemporaneous policy rate decisions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150907