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agriculture declines while labor productivity increases in agriculture more than in other sectors. We construct a unified theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864144
Virtually all economies experience recurrent fluctuations in economic activity that persist for periods of several quarters to several years. Further, there is a definite tendency for the business cycles of developed countries to move together--there is a world component to business cycles. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013237018
and capital are important for explaining procyclical productivity. Here I present two simple and direct tests of these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249227
Measured productivity is strongly procyclical. Real business cycle theories suggest that actual fluctuations in … productivity are the source of fluctuations in aggregate output. Keynesian theories maintain that fluctuations in aggregate output … to explain the procyclicality of productivity. If observed productivity shocks are true productivity shocks, a function …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227898
using first-order approximations. In our estimated medium-scale DSGE model, a loss of confidence about productivity works …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109445
We provide evidence on the relationship between aggregate uncertainty and the macroeconomy. Identifying uncertainty shocks using methods from the news shocks literature, the analysis finds that innovations in realized stock market volatility are robustly followed by contractions, while shocks to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948093
This chapter develops a toolkit of neoclassical macroeconomic models, and applies these models to the U.S. economy from 1929 through 2014. We first filter macroeconomic time series into business cycle and long-run components, and show that the long-run component is typically much larger than the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012995973
This paper provides microfoundations to the Salter-Swan policy framework, a graphical apparatus designed to ascertain the exchange-rate and fiscal stance of a policymaker with internal and external economic targets. The environment is an infinite-horizon small open economy producing tradable and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013309883
intermediates contributes to total factor productivity in the production of final goods. The economy produces two such final goods …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139328
In this paper we present a version of the Melitz (2003) model for the case of a small economy and summarize its key relationships with the aid of a simple figure. We then use this figure to provide an intuitive analysis of the implications of asymmetric changes in trade barriers and show that a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119344