We propose a model of cycles of distrust and conflict. Overlapping generations of agents from two groups sequentially … a sequence of bad actions originated. Assuming that both sides are not extremists, spirals of distrust and conflict get … this mechanism can be useful in interpreting cycles of ethnic conflict and international war, and how it also emerges in …

ethnic conflict. A new type of bargaining failure due to multiple types of potential conflicts (and hence multiple threat … points) is identified. The theory predicts war to be more likely when resource and group concentration are high, and the …

, whereas in other polities distributional disputes result in civil conflict. Theoretical analysis reveals that the following … between social classes without civil conflict: *Neither social class has a big advantage in civil conflict. *The expected … incremental costs of civil conflict are large relative to aggregate appropriable economic rents. *Both social classes are greatly …

A notable feature of post-World War II civil wars is their very long average duration. We provide a theory of the …

conflict when defense capability is fixed, but may allow for security and prosperity when defense capability is endogenous … of conflict and stagnation. We illustrate the model by analyzing the rise of civilization in Sumeria and Egypt, the first …

We present a theory of ethnic conflict in which coalitions formed along ethnic lines compete for the economy%u2019s … coalition can defect to the winners at low cost, and this rules out conflict as an equilibrium outcome. We derive a number of … implications of the model relating social, political, and economic indicators such as the incidence of conflict, the distance among …