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findings have implications for market-wide volatility - the model-implied correlations alone can explain 44% of the cross …-section of aggregate volatility. The results are robust to controlling for a number of alternative factors put forth by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013017087
This paper is an investigation into the determinants of asymmetries in stock returns. We develop a series of cross-sectional regression specifications which attempt to forecast skewness in the daily returns of individual stocks. Negative skewness is most pronounced in stocks that have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763325
We investigate a consumption-based present value relation that is a function of future dividend growth. Using data on aggregate consumption and measures of the dividend payments from aggregate wealth, we show that changing forecasts of dividend growth make an important contribution to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012750749
volatility autocorrelation comes from the fundamental that the trading process is pricing or, is caused by the trading process … itself. Returns and volume data argue, in the context of our model, that persistent volatility is caused by traders … autocorrelation in volatility and volume on the time scale of the trading process which generates returns and volume data. Positive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763565
introduce a model for asset return dynamics with a drift component, a volatility component and mutually exciting jumps known as … develop and implement an estimation procedure for this model. Our estimates provide evidence for self-excitation both in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013146261
reservations about the impact of foreign speculators on both expectedquot; returns and market volatility. We propose a cross … depositary receipts country funds and other financial instruments, in an extranational market and market volatility in emerging … statistically weak. The effects on volatility and correlation are less robust.quot …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774923
influence the exchange rates and relative equity prices. In the estimation of the VAR system we do not impose any causal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247017
volatility through time. We are particularly interested in understanding whether periods of high volatility are correlated across … countries. The analysis uses both on univariate and bivariate switching volatility models. Our results do not rely on the … correlation coefficients, but on the co-dependence of volatility regimes. The results indicate that high-volatility episodes are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012787582
in emerging countries tend to have shorter duration and larger amplitude and volatility than in developed countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013230763
the United States to show how stock volatility has changed over time. It also uses various measures of volatility implied … 2008. This episode was associated with historically high levels of stock market volatility, particularly among financial … sector stocks, but the market did not expect volatility to remain high for long and it did not. This is in sharp contrast to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126204