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This paper examines the economic environments in which past U.S. stock market booms occurred as a first step toward understanding how asset price booms come about and whether monetary policy should be used to defuse booms. We identify several episodes of sustained rapid rise in equity prices in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013127756
role for credit growth (beyond its role in constructing the inflation forecast) would reduce the volatility of output and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137616
the United States to show how stock volatility has changed over time. It also uses various measures of volatility implied … 2008. This episode was associated with historically high levels of stock market volatility, particularly among financial … sector stocks, but the market did not expect volatility to remain high for long and it did not. This is in sharp contrast to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126204
that, after monetary policy announcements, the conditional volatility rises more for firms with stickier prices than for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085909
Data show that better creditor protection is correlated across countries with lower average stock market volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158028
with volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774536
This paper addresses how creditor protection affects the volatility of stock market prices. Credit protection reduces … volatility in 40 countries over the period from 1984 to 2004. Estimated probabilities of a liquidity crisis are used as a proxy … price volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776957
Simple regression tests that have power against the alternatives that. asset prices and expected future asset returns are excessively volatile are developed and performed for the foreign exchange and stock markets. These tests have a number of advantages over alternative, variance hounds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012786275
Large long-run swings in the United States stock market over the past century correspond to swings in estimates of fundamental values calculated by using a long moving average of past dividend growth to forecast future growth rates. Such a procedure would have been reasonable if investors were...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012787482
volatility through time. We are particularly interested in understanding whether periods of high volatility are correlated across … countries. The analysis uses both on univariate and bivariate switching volatility models. Our results do not rely on the … correlation coefficients, but on the co-dependence of volatility regimes. The results indicate that high-volatility episodes are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012787582