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the mean and volatility of equity returns. Our model assumes a small risk of a rare disaster that is calibrated based on … the international data on large consumption declines. We allow the risk of this rare disaster to be stochastic, which … turns out to be crucial to the model's ability to explain both equity volatility and option prices. We explore different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073202
examines the implications of stochastic volatility and jumps for option valuation. This example highlights the impact on option … amp;apos;smirksamp;apos; of the joint distribution of jumps in volatility and jumps in the underlying asset price, through …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774824
We conduct a comprehensive analysis of unspanned stochastic volatility in commodity markets in general and the crude …-oil market in particular. We present model-free results that strongly suggest the presence of unspanned stochastic volatility in … stochastic volatility. The model features correlations between innovations to futures prices and volatility, quasi …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012778140
We use a novel pricing model to filter times series of diffusive volatility and jump intensity from Samp;P 500 index … options. These two measures capture the ex-ante risk assessed by investors. We find that both components of risk vary … equilibrium model with a representative investor, we translate the filtered measures of ex-ante risk into an ex-ante risk premium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012785090
In pricing primary-market options and in making secondary markets, financial intermediaries depend on the quality of forecasts of the variance of the underlying assets. Hence, the gain from improved pricing of options would be a measure of the value of a forecast of underlying asset returns....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763182
risk is the dominant force, the size distribution of disasters follows a power law, and the economy has a representative … difference between the power-law tail parameter and the coefficient of relative risk aversion, γ. The options-pricing formula …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013001208
tractability. Nevertheless, the formula is useful for evaluating many types of risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763214
We empirically analyze the pricing of political uncertainty, guided by a theoretical model of government policy choice. To isolate political uncertainty, we exploit its variation around national elections and global summits. We find that political uncertainty is priced in the equity option...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060687
stance. When decomposing the VIX into two components, a proxy for risk aversion and expected stock market volatility …The VIX, the stock market option-based implied volatility, strongly co-moves with measures of the monetary policy … ("uncertainty"), we find that a lax monetary policy decreases both risk aversion and uncertainty, with the former effect being …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137030
growth and real exchange rate changes, a key measure of international risk-sharing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121594