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Recent research suggests that much of the cross-firm variation in measured productivity is due to differences in use of … longitudinal earnings records for their employees to study the relationship between productivity, management, worker ability, and … and firm-level productivity in Germany. In our preferred TFP estimates only a small fraction of this correlation is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996465
What are the prospects for long-run economic growth? The present study looks at a recently launched hypothesis, which I label Singularity. The idea here is that rapid growth in computation and artificial intelligence will cross some boundary or Singularity after which economic growth will...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015557
how this leads to an underestimation of productivity growth in the early years of a new GPT, and how later, when the … benefits of intangible investments are harvested, productivity growth will be overestimated. Our model generates a Productivity … J-Curve that can explain the productivity slowdowns often accompanying the advent of GPTs, as well as the increase in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012909517
Characterizing the work that people do on their jobs is a longstanding and core issue in labor economics. Traditionally, classification has been done manually. If it were possible to combine new computational tools and administrative wage records to generate an automated crosswalk between job...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911708
Despite the clear success of forecast combination in many economic environments, several important issues remain incompletely resolved. The issues relate to selection of the set of forecasts to combine, and whether some form of additional regularization (e.g., shrinkage) is desirable. Against...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911728
Recent advances in artificial intelligence are primarily driven by machine learning, a prediction technology. Prediction is useful because it is an input into decision-making. In order to appreciate the impact of artificial intelligence on jobs, it is important to understand the relative roles...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891318
productivity growth has declined by half over the past decade, and real income has stagnated since the late 1990s for a majority of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012944144
This paper examines the potential impact of artificial intelligence (A.I.) on economic growth. We model A.I. as the latest form of automation, a broader process dating back more than 200 years. Electricity, internal combustion engines, and semiconductors facilitated automation in the last...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012945616
Artificial states are those in which political borders do not coincide with a division of nationalities desired by the people on the ground. We propose and compute for all countries in the world two new measures how artificial states are. One is based on measuring how borders split ethnic groups...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012761274
Economics and ethics both offer important perspectives on our society, but they do so from two different viewpoints – the central focus of economics is how the price system in our economy values resources; the central focus of ethics is the moral evaluation of actions in our society. The rise...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865277