Evaluating inflation-targeting monetary policy is more complicated than checking whether inflation has been on target …, because inflation control is imperfect and flexible inflation targeting means that deviations from target may be deliberate in … variability of the inflation-gap and output-gap forecasts can be used to evaluate policy ex ante, that is, taking into account the …

Aggregate shocks that move output and inflation in opposite directions create a tradeoff between output and inflation … variability outcomes, revealing national central banker's relative weight on output and inflation variability in their preferences …. We use estimates of the structure of 23 industrialized and developing economies, including nine that target inflation …

Inflation targeting is shown to imply inflation forecast targeting: the central bank's inflation forecast becomes an … explicit intermediate target. Inflation forecast targeting simplifies both implementation and monitoring of monetary policy …. The weight on output stabilization determines how quickly the inflation forecast is adjusted towards the inflation target …

solutions such as the conservative central banker and optimal inflation contracts. Our theoretical model also shows how an … inflation targeting range should be set and how it should respond to changes in the nature of shocks to the economy …

. In this context, we test for greater fiscal dominance over 2000-2017 under Inflation Targeting (IT) and non-IT regimes … with greater exchange rate volatility, inflation volatility, and underlying commodity exposure exhibit stronger …

heterogeneous inflation expectations. Expectations are updated through social dynamics and, with heterogeneity, not all firms choose … to operate, putting downward pressure on realized inflation. Our model rationalizes why countries stuck at the zero lower … bound have had a hard time increasing inflation without being aggressive. The same model also predicts that announcing an …

inflation (with base drift in the price level) and price-level stability (without such base drift) are compared, and a suitable … loss function (corresponding to flexible inflation targeting) is discussed, including the index and level for the inflation … price stability. The benefits of credibility (private inflation expectations coinciding with the inflation target) are …

This paper considers the problem of optimal long run monetary policy. It shows that optimal inflation policy involves … trading off two quite different considerations. First, increases in the rate of inflation tax the holding of many balances … of inflation raise capital intensity. As long as the economy has a capital stock short of the golden rule level …

Previous analysis of the implementation of inflation targeting is extended to monetary policy responses to different … stabilization or smoothing all call for a more gradual adjustment of the conditional inflation forecast toward the inflation target …. The conditional inflation forecast is the natural intermediate target during inflation targeting …

Observed inflation targets around the industrial world are concentrated at two percent per year. This chapter … investigates the extent to which the observed magnitudes of inflation targets are consistent with the optimal rate of inflation … inflation ranges from minus the real rate of interest to numbers insignificantly above zero. Furthermore, we argue that the zero …