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We study information acquisition and dynamic withdrawal decisions when a spreading rumor exposes a solvent bank to a run. Uncertainty about the bank's liquidity and potential failure motivates depositors who hear the rumor to acquire additional noisy signals. Depositors with less informative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098473
We present a model of a financial market where some traders are "cursed" when choosing how much to invest in a risky asset, failing to fully take into account what prices convey about others' private information. Cursed traders put more weight on their private signals than rational traders. But...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013021869
We develop a general equilibrium model in which income and dividends are smooth, but asset prices are subject to large moves (jumps). A prominent feature of the model is that the optimal decision of investors to learn the unobserved state triggers large asset-price jumps. We show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221105
We empirically decompose the S&P 500's dividend yield into (1) a rational forecast of long-run real dividend growth, (2 …) the subjectively expected risk premium, and (3) residual mispricing attributed to the market's forecast of dividend growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133237
We recover prices of dividend strips on the aggregate stock market using data from derivatives markets. The price of a … k-year dividend strip is the present value of the dividend paid in k years. The value of the stock market is the sum of … all dividend strip prices across maturities. We study the properties of strips and find that expected returns, Sharpe …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137025
conditions under which the variation in a small asset's price-dividend ratio can be attributed almost entirely to variation in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118845
through principal component analysis of the covariance matrix of log price dividend ratios of twenty five equity portfolios … formed on Size and Book-to-Market. We identify two price-dividend ratio factor proxies for economy wide long run risk, one … returns alone. The price dividend ratio factors perform better than the stock index price dividend ratio and the corporate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119779
firm shifts its dividend risk to the upside, which amplifies the overvaluation and explains the premium. Second, we argue … market through a higher share price, but is inefficient from the perspective of dividend value …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121056
Many leading asset pricing models predict that the term structures of expected returns and volatilities on dividend … these models replace their exogenously specified dividend dynamics with processes that are derived endogenously from capital …) when leverage is low (high), which shifts risk from long-horizon to short-horizon dividend strips. This framework also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099417
dividend yield in real terms was slightly in excess of is 5% per annum, while the long-term price growth was near zero. The … company's unique full-payout dividend policy allows us to estimate an asset pricing model with fundamentally persistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013052692