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In this paper I use weekly data from seven emerging nations - four in Latin America and three in Asia - to investigate … dynamics - in Latin America and Asia. The results also indicate that capital controls are not an effective tool for isolating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097663
We ask how export demand shocks associated with the Asian financial crisis affected Chinese exporters. We construct firm-specific exchange rate shocks based on the pre-crisis destinations of firms' exports. Because the shocks were unanticipated and large, they are a plausible instrument for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012758022
In this paper, I develop a new identification method to solve the problem of simultaneous equations, based on heteroskedasticity of the structural shocks. I show that if the heteroskedasticity can be described as a two-regime process, then the system is just identified under relatively weak...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763760
This paper develops a structural VAR model to measure how a shock to one country can affect the GDP of other countries …. It uses trade linkages to estimate the multiplier effects of a shock as it is transmitted through other countries' output …-trade matrix. For example, due to these output-multiplier effects, a shock to one country can have a large impact on countries that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292459
The 1990s Sudden Stops in emerging markets were a harbinger for the 2008 global financial crisis. During Sudden Stops, countries lost access to credit, causing abrupt current account reversals, and suffered Great Recessions. This paper reviews a class of models that yields quantitative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013077215
spectacular advances of the economies of China, India, and Southeast Asia. Section 1 reviews the debate over the sources of … the new recognition among Western economists that the sustained, very rapid growth in China and Southeast Asia was …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117048
growth rates for the key emerging markets and other developing economies in Asia. China has by far the lowest share of … private consumption to GDP in Asia and, during this decade, has recorded the lowest rate of employment growth relative to GDP … and Vietnam. To examine the global implications of domestic growth patterns in Asia, I analyze saving-investment balances …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013157915
substantially shift towards Asia and especially towards the Asian Giants, China and India. While such forecasts may pan out, there …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045644
Asia during this century than in any other region or historical period. By introducing demographic variables into an … empirical model of economic growth, this essay shows that this transition has contributed substantially to East Asia's so …-called economic miracle. The 'miracle' occurred in part because East Asia's demographic transition resulted in its working …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013215702
We analyze the impact of China's growth on the exports of other Asian countries. Our innovation is to distinguish the increase in China's demand for imports from its increased penetration of export markets. Using the gravity model, we disaggregate among commodity types and account for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225046