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A key open question in economics is the practical, portable modeling of bounded rationality. In this short note, I report ongoing progress that is more fully developed elsewhere. I present some results from a new model in which the decision-maker builds a simplified representation of the world....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110191
"Buffer-stock" versions of the dynamic stochastic optimizing model of saving are now standard in the consumption literature. This paper builds theoretical foundations for rigorous understanding of the main characteristics of buffer stock models, including the existence of a target level of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013240659
We assume that the instantaneous riskless rate reverts towards a central tendency which in turn, is changing stochastically over time. As a result, current short-term rates are notquot; sufficient to predict future short-term rates movements, as would be the case if the centralquot; tendency was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774922
traditional culprits of increasing savings supply and technological growth slowdown …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907462
This paper compares the dynamics of two general equilibrium models of endogenous growth in which agents have comparison utility.' In the inward-looking' economy, individuals care about how their consumption in the current period compares to their own consumption in the past (one way to describe...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233857
We examine the relationship between income growth and saving using both cross-country and household data. At the aggregate level, we find that growth Granger causes saving, but that saving does not Granger cause growth. Using household data, we find that households with predictably higher income...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013238948
This paper studies the distributive effects of growth when different agents' income is drawn from accumulated and non-accumulated factors of production in different proportions, notes that political interactions may contribute to determine factor shares and growth when income sources are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014074308
rates and expense ratios, and we estimate this could lead to aggregate savings for these participants over a 20-year period …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013001774
Important behavioral factors such as default and framing effects are increasingly being employed to optimize decision-making in a variety of settings, including individually-directed retirement plans. Yet such approaches may have unintended "spillover" effects, as we show with regard to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158535
Using panel data for nearly 1,000 companies during 1991 to 2000, this paper documents that the average share of participant's discretionary 401(k) contributions in company stock was almost 20 percent, and then relates this share to plan design features and firm financial characteristics. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012787121