Showing 1 - 10 of 364
This paper conducts tests of the rationality of both inflation and short-term interest rate forecasts in the bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012787455
There has been a long-running debate about whether stock market prices are determined by fundamentals. To date no consensus has been reached. An important issue in this debate concerns the circumstances in which deviations from fundamentals are consistent with rational behavior. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763474
We introduce a simple method of recovering attention costs from choice data. Our method rests on a precise analogy with production theory. Costs of attention determine consumer demand and consumer welfare just as a competitive firm's technology determines its supply curve and profits. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225153
to go to war with each other, even after controlling for a wide set of measures of geographic distance and other factors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158697
The literature exploring other regarding behavior sheds important light on interesting social phenomena, yet less attention has been given to how the received results speak to foundational assumptions within economics. Our study synthesizes the empirical evidence, showing that recent work...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012992647
We derive a new cost of information in rational inattention problems, the neighborhood-based cost functions, starting from the observation that many settings involve exogenous states with a topological structure. These cost functions are uniformly posterior-separable and capture notions of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314321
Most economic analyses presume that there are limited differences in the prior beliefs of individuals, as assumption most often justified by the argument that sufficient common experiences and observations will eliminate disagreements. We investigate this claim using a simple model of Bayesian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760581
We present a model of a financial market where some traders are "cursed" when choosing how much to invest in a risky asset, failing to fully take into account what prices convey about others' private information. Cursed traders put more weight on their private signals than rational traders. But...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013021869
shortly after the war seem to have dissipated by 2000. While these are important outcomes to economists, by focusing on them …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131668
This paper explores the means by which warfare influences domestic commodity markets. It is argued that England during the French Wars provides an ideal testing ground. Four categories of explanatory variables are taken as likely sources of documented changes in English commodity price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139748