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role for credit growth (beyond its role in constructing the inflation forecast) would reduce the volatility of output and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137616
mean and volatility of aggregate consumption growth, by a representative agent with a high elasticity of intertemporal … increasing the persistence of volatility fluctuations and their impact on stock prices. This calibration fits the predictive … power of stock prices for future consumption volatility, but implies much greater predictive power of stock prices for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225971
This paper addresses how creditor protection affects the volatility of stock market prices. Credit protection reduces … volatility in 40 countries over the period from 1984 to 2004. Estimated probabilities of a liquidity crisis are used as a proxy … price volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776957
The VIX, the stock market option-based implied volatility, strongly co-moves with measures of the monetary policy … stance. When decomposing the VIX into two components, a proxy for risk aversion and expected stock market volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137030
formulate and examine precise and separate measures of return spillovers and volatility spillovers. Our framework facilitates … evidence of divergent behavior in the dynamics of return spillovers vs. volatility spillovers: Return spillovers display a … gently increasing trend but no bursts, whereas volatility spillovers display no trend but clear bursts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759516
introduce a model for asset return dynamics with a drift component, a volatility component and mutually exciting jumps known as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013146261
This paper examines the economic environments in which past U.S. stock market booms occurred as a first step toward understanding how asset price booms come about and whether monetary policy should be used to defuse booms. We identify several episodes of sustained rapid rise in equity prices in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013127756
the United States to show how stock volatility has changed over time. It also uses various measures of volatility implied … 2008. This episode was associated with historically high levels of stock market volatility, particularly among financial … sector stocks, but the market did not expect volatility to remain high for long and it did not. This is in sharp contrast to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126204
that, after monetary policy announcements, the conditional volatility rises more for firms with stickier prices than for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085909
Data show that better creditor protection is correlated across countries with lower average stock market volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158028