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We test whether fixed exchange rate regimes are ever credible in emerging markets by analyzing the behavior of short-term domestic trade bills across countries during the classical gold standard period, the most widely used hard peg in modern financial history. We exploit the fact that global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150729
credibility). We then use panel VARs based on both factor models and observed data to ascertain the impact of global shocks …, financial shocks, trade shocks and credibility shocks on the EMEs versus the AEs.We find that although some EMEs did maintain … resilience to shocks and in the quality of their governance. Moreover it appears that CB credibility in EMEs was more fragile …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861733
crises in the historical record under metallic monetary regimes and of crises post-World War II under Bretton Woods, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013216858
explosive mix of lack of policy credibility and world capital market imperfections that afflict emerging economies with national … emerging countries' vulnerability to these crises. The credibility of their financial policies would be greatly enhanced by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223310
their partners, including credibility, signaling, bargaining power, insurance, and coordination. It assesses the necessary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013323465
We test empirically for evidence that government tariff-setting behavior depends on the degree of discretion with which policy-makers are endowed. We do this by studying government tariff choices under two distinct environments. One environment is that of tariffs set under the Escape Clause...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013127832
We define and study transparency, credibility, and reputation in a model where the central bank's characteristics are … unobservable to the private sector and are inferred from the policy outcome. A low-credibility bank optimally conducts a more … inflationary policy than a high-credibility bank, in the sense that it induces higher inflation, but a less expansionary policy in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137302
credibility EBRS is associated with overheating and current account deficits, IRRs give rise to somewhat opposite results … costs infringed by imperfect credibility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760044
liquidity, news about global fundamentals, and recurrent innovation and regulatory changes in world markets, (ii) lack of … credibility, because of time-inconsistency of the optimal policy under commitment, and (iii) coordination failure, because a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012978515
Random assignment is insufficient for measured treatment responses to recover causal effects (comparative statics) in dynamic economies. We characterize analytically bias probabilities and magnitudes. If the policy variable is binary there is attenuation bias. With more than two policy states,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013027267