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Contagion in the European Sovereign Debt Crisis
Glover, Brent - 2014
We use a network model of credit risk to measure market expectations of the potential spillovers from a sovereign default. Specifically, we develop an empirical model, based on the recent theoretical literature on contagion in financial networks, and estimate it with data on sovereign credit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045650
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Ending the Euro Crisis?
Feldstein, Martin S. - 2015
All of the attempts to end the euro crisis and to return the Eurozone countries to healthy growth rates of income and … Eurozone countries. I describe some of these fiscal options after reviewing the history of failed attempts and the options that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030065
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Measuring Sovereign Contagion in Europe
Caporin, Massimiliano - 2020
eurozone countries. By emphasizing several econometric approaches (nonlinear regression, quantile regression and Bayesian … their sovereign debt and fiscal situations. Thus, the integration among the different eurozone countries is stable, and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012823085
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Tales from the Bretton Woods
Bordo, Michael D. - 2014
An analogy has been made between the collapse of the Bretton Woods system in 1971 and the recent Eurozone crisis. The … (analogous to Germany today).However Bretton Woods is very different from the Eurozone in many dimensions. An even better analogy … mechanism for the Eurozone. In the early 1930s massive gold flows from the interior, hard hit by banking panics, to New York …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051313
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Financial Globalization, Financial Crises and Contagion
Mendoza, Enrique G. - 2010
Two observations suggest that financial globalization played an important role in the recent financial crisis. First, more than half of the rise in net borrowing of the U.S. nonfinancial sectors since the mid 1980s has been financed by foreign lending. Second, the collapse of the U.S. housing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150545
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Sovereign Debt Markets in Turbulent Times : Creditor Discrimination and Crowding-Out Effects
Broner, Fernando - 2013
In 2007, countries in the euro periphery were enjoying stable growth, low deficits, and low spreads. Then the financial crisis erupted and pushed them into deep recessions, raising their deficits and debt levels. By 2010, they were facing severe debt problems. Spreads increased and,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013072346
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Inspecting the Mechanism : Leverage and the Great Recession in the Eurozone
Martin, Philippe - 2014
We provide a comprehensive account of the dynamics of eurozone countries from 2000 to 2012. We analyze private leverage … government spending, and sudden stops. We then ask how eurozone countries would have fared with different policies. We find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045645
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The Portuguese Slump and Crash and the Euro Crisis
Reis, Ricardo - 2013
Between 2000 and 2012, the Portuguese economy grew less than the United States during the Great Depression and less than Japan during its lost decade. This paper asks why this happened, with a particular focus on the slump between 2000 and 2007. It describes the main facts of Portugal's recent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013077964
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The "Big C" : Identifying Contagion
Forbes, Kristin J. - 2012
This paper surveys and assesses the academic literature on defining, measuring, and identifying financial contagion and the various channels by which it can occur. It also includes new empirical analysis of recent trends and causes of contagion, highlighting contagion risks in the euro area. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099134
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A Surplus of Ambition : Can Europe Rely on Large Primary Surpluses to Solve its Debt Problem?
Eichengreen, Barry - 2014
IMF forecasts and the EU's Fiscal Compact foresee Europe's heavily indebted countries running primary budget surpluses of as much as 5 percent of GDP for as long as 10 years in order to maintain debt sustainability and bring their debt/GDP ratios down to the Compact's 60 percent target. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050287