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with empirical evidence, the model shows that (a) value stocks are those with higher cash-flow risk; (b) the size of the … value premium is larger in %u201Cbad times,%u201D due to time variation in risk preferences; (c) the unconditional CAPM …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783344
In a life-cycle model, a retiree faces stochastic health depreciation and chooses consumption, health expenditure, and the allocation of wealth between bonds, stocks, and housing. The model explains key facts about asset allocation and health expenditure across health status and age. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150983
stocks and risk-free bonds over its lifecycle. We show that allowing for the wage indexation of social security benefits …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125573
We study the role of information in asset pricing models with long-run cash flow risk. When investors can distinguish … short- from long-run consumption risks (full information), the model generates a sizable equity risk premium only if the … propose a sparsity-based bounded rationality model of long-run risk that is both parsimonious and fully identified from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012755422
Optimal investment of firms implies that expected stock returns are tied with the expected marginal benefit of investment divided by the marginal cost of investment. Winners have higher expected growth and expected marginal productivity (two major components of the marginal benefit of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130782
total risk are larger and the Sharpe ratios of their stock portfolios are lower …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762588
This paper explores institutional investor trades in stocks grouped by style and the relationship of these trades with equity market returns. It aggregates transactions drawn from a large universe of approximately $6 trillion of institutional funds. To analyze style behavior, we assign equities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012767679
Despite their strong positive average returns across numerous asset classes, momentum strategies can experience infrequent and persistent strings of negative returns. These momentum crashes are partly forecastable. They occur in "panic" states - following market declines and when market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013032704
options in defined contribution retirement plans. We document large differences in realized TDF returns and risk profiles … reflects optimal risk-taking by fund families with low market share, especially those entering the market after 2006. Using … plan-level data, we find little evidence that 401(k) plan sponsors match the risk profile of the TDFs in their plans to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109863
dividend yield is typically viewed as a reflection of either changing risk, related to the business cycle, or irrational … risk as well as expected return, we develop Bayesian methods to examine the interaction between the data and an investor … and a riskless asset. In general, however, the simple risk/return model of Merton (1980) explains very little of the yield …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763077