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We propose a new model of exchange rates, which yields a theory of the forward premium puzzle. Our explanation combines …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759530
We develop a new parametric estimation procedure for option panels observed with error which relies on asymptotic approximations assuming an ever increasing set of observed option prices in the moneyness- maturity (cross-sectional) dimension, but with a fixed time span. We develop consistent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107009
We propose a new measure of financial intermediary constraints based on how the intermediaries manage their tail risk exposures. Using data for the trading activities in the market of deep out-of-the-money S&P 500 put options, we identify periods when the variations in the net amount of trading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891794
behavioral finance theory that relies on over-optimistic investors in the stock market and segmentation between the stock and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012767791
Models of interest-dependent claims that imply similar term structures and levels of interest rate volatility also produce similar estimates of bond option values. This result is established for simple option forms with known closed-form solutions as well as for more complex options that require...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774565
We use prices of equity index options to quantify the impact of extreme events on asset returns. We define extreme events as departures from normality of the log of the pricing kernel and summarize their impact with high-order cumulants: skewness, kurtosis, and so on. We show that high-order...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013151374
We study the pricing of uncertainty shocks using a wide-ranging set of options that reveal premia for macroeconomic risks. Portfolios hedging macro uncertainty have historically earned zero or even significantly positive returns, while those exposed to the realization of large shocks have earned...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224964
Many financial instruments are designed with embedded leverage such as options and leveraged exchange traded funds (ETFs). Embedded leverage alleviates investors' leverage constraints and, therefore, we hypothesize that embedded leverage lowers required returns. Consistent with this hypothesis,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097662
. The paper proposes an equilibrium theory of the term structure of the forward premium. By combining the theory of the term … expression for the expected one month forward premium. The theory will then impose highly non-linear cross equation restrictions … indicate that the data are consistent with the theory for Germany and inconsistent with the theory for Canada …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012754712
This essay reviews the family of models that seek to provide aggregate risk based explanations for the empirically observed equity premium. Theories based on non-expected utility preference structures, limited financial market participation, model uncertainty and the small probability of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759947