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What explains stock market behavior in the early weeks of the coronavirus pandemic? Estimates from a dynamic asset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012823756
with volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774536
We create a newspaper-based Equity Market Volatility (EMV) tracker that moves with the VIX and with the realized … volatility of returns on the S&P 500. Parsing the underlying text, we find that 72 percent of EMV articles discuss the … Macroeconomic Outlook, and 44 percent discuss Commodity Markets. Policy news is another major source of volatility: 35 percent of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889473
This paper addresses how creditor protection affects the volatility of stock market prices. Credit protection reduces … volatility in 40 countries over the period from 1984 to 2004. Estimated probabilities of a liquidity crisis are used as a proxy … price volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776957
According to conventional wisdom, annualized volatility of stock returns is lower when computed over long horizons than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012764748
institutions predicts higher volatility and greater noise in stock prices as well as greater fragility in times of crisis. When …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012992142
volatility back to 1985. We also evaluate potential explanations for the unprecedented stock market reaction to the COVID-19 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837802
Studies find price increases for additions to the S&P 500 index but no decreases for deletions. Additions come with good earnings news, suggesting these studies are not just measuring an indexing effect. We develop a regression discontinuity design using Russell Indices for cleaner...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013077962
We decompose the squared VIX index, derived from US S&P500 options prices, into the conditional variance of stock … tackle several measurement issues assessing a plethora of state-of-the-art volatility forecasting models. We then examine the … predictive power of the VIX and its two components for stock market returns and economic activity. The variance premium predicts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082768
Childhood vaccinations are an important input to disease prevention, but vaccination rates have declined over the last decade due largely to parental fears about vaccine dangers. Education campaigns on the safety of vaccines seem to have little impact. Anecdotal evidence on disease outbreaks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012985902