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Unlike most cross-country growth analyses, we focus on turning points in growth performance. We look for instances of rapid acceleration in economic growth that are sustained for at least eight years and identify more than 80 such episodes since the 1950s. Growth accelerations tend to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013321621
While output declined in virtually all transition economies in the initial years, the speed and extent of the recovery that followed has varied widely across these countries. The contrast between the more and less successful transitions, the latter largely in the former Soviet Union, raises many...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014156715
macro economy. Using a panel of 131 monthly macroeconomic time series for the sample 1964:1-2007:12, we estimate 8 static …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013152009
This paper considers the role of policy in an AI-intensive economy (interpreting AI broadly). It emphasizes the speed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918072
to be the peak capitalist economy in the new information economy. This paper develops criterion for judging peak status … workers, continued full employment will greatly strengthen the case for the US as peak economy. But with anything less than … full employment the US economy will lose its luster. Even if this occurs, however, the US record in employing women and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013240540
This Economica Coase Lecture reviews research that has revolutionized the field of international trade and foreign direct investment. It explains the motivation behind the development of new analytical frameworks, the nature of these frameworks, and the empirical studies that sprouted from them
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081834
New developments in the world economy have triggered research designed to better understand the changes in trade and … transformation of the world economy. This paper reviews the literature that has emerged from these efforts. The theoretical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013219328
Despite the fact that importing and exporting are extremely rare firm activities, economists generally devote little attention to the role of firms when discussing international trade. This paper summarizes key differences between trading and non-trading firms, demonstrates how these differences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012755384
This paper is the first chapter in the Oxford Companion to the Economics of China (Oxford University Press, forthcoming …). Rather than trying to summarize other contributors' views, we provide our own perspectives on the Economics of China …--the past experience and the future prospects. Our reading of China's economic development over the past 35 years raises two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013072868
best, particularly in comparison with that of China. Comparing these countries and reviewing the literature, we conclude … gained from trade, and by some measures, more so than China. We sketch out a theory in which developing countries can grow … continuing reforms, Chinese growth is likely to slow down sharply, perhaps leaving China at a level less than Mexico's real GDP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135399